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eisfeld

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Everything posted by eisfeld

  1. The video does not match the written reporting by AseanNow. The victim was not left abandoned, there was a person helping them. The video also stops a second after the couple existing the vehicle and doesn't show what happened after. Who is the author of this post? No source linked.
  2. Over the past decade I have whitnessed the Thai visa requirements going up both in price and burden on the applicants. It used to be a 5 minute process for me to apply in the consulate of my home country and was very straight foward and easy. Now it's multiple week process during which I can't talk to anyone (e-visa, in-person not allowed anymore) and a lot of documents being asked for. The process is also completely in english which a lot of older people are not comfortable with. I have now heard from over a dozen people who used to spend winter in Thailand and considered completely moving there for retirement that they gave up and chose other countries. I myself while not being at retirement age anytime soon am also getting annoyed more and more. I've experienced immigration officials coming up with completely made up requirements and issues now and then for no discernable reason. At some point it's just enough and you stop and ask yourself if that waste of your time and energy has to be in your life. People who have plenty of choices don't take the crap forever.
  3. I replied to two different questions from another poster. You have to read the quoted post before reading my reply to it. Two questions, two answers. In both cases separated by some newlines.
  4. NATO is not involved in the Ukraine war. Some NATO member countries are supporting Ukraine with funds and weapons but that is a different thing. If NATO would be involved in the war then it would look very, very different. Why the west didn't stop China from invading Tibet? Well they can't defend everyone now can they? They wouldn't be in a very good position to defend there just geographically speaking and then you also have to be a bit realistic in that western countries have to take into account geopolitical threats, economic threats and other strategic considerations. But you can see both Russia and China have taken over territories before without much opposition and it has embolded them to do more of the same as we are seeing.
  5. Exactly. If third countries wouldn't get involved in disputes between countries then any stronger country can just take over any smaller country. It's like a school bully. The bully wont stop by himself and the bullied guy isn't strong enough to defend himself. Others have to step in. Which is also the whole idea of NATO. All countries together are too strong for anyone else to try to invade any individual member state.
  6. You are, as usual, confused. The people who downvote you are against the war and against Putin the warmonger. To call the downvoters warmongers is nonsensical. They didn't stir up war.
  7. Why would Russia be frightened by a defensive alliance? NATO does not invade countries. Has not, will not. Perhaps? Either there was an agreement or there wasn't. If it's important to Russia then maybe put it in writing like everything else? Didn't happen. Reagan never ushered anything like that, it was Baker who met with Gorbachev and Baker said he didn't make any such assurance. The topic also was unification of Germany. What does Ukraine have suddenly to do with it and why is it ok to invade them?
  8. Weird that the western people who attended the meeting disclaim any such promise was made and there is absolutely nothing in writing. Only Russia claims such a promise was made. And even if that's the case it's not a reason to invade a country and kill tens of thousands of people. There is no excuse for what Russia is doing. And it's clearly achieving even the opposite of their claimed objective.
  9. Ah yes it's Europes fault that Russia invaded Ukraine. Guess Ukraine was wearing a too sexy dress. Definitely not Putin and his ilk at fault.
  10. $1.2B theoretical dollars. He can't sell those shares as he's in a lockup period. All the while the value is shrinking rapidly because the company is losing money left and right. In the end it's just a scam to take money from the gullible followers who bought the stock. To issue an earnout bonus due to share price while the company is losing 60M on 4M revenue is a slap in the face of the shareholders.
  11. Aha! Very smart. This is their plot to finally get ahold of Mr. Boss!
  12. Good information. I'd like to point out a slightly problematic situation reading the above. One might for example be required to file a tax return which requires a TIN because one had over 60k income but none of it might be assessable income and so one is not eligible to get a TIN and therefore can't file a return.
  13. I don't see how that's an example of that. If anything it's the opposite. It explains both in layman's terms as well as math why asking a bit over a thousand people is enough in a poll which is why nearly all polls ask exactly this amount of people. You critized the size of the poll and said the number of people asked is meaningless. It's not. BTW the video you posted is funny, I like the idea. But he really could have used some better examples. He wants to show that while being mathematically correct you can still completely mislead with statistics but his statistics isn't even right. His first example with the chips vs pretzels is good though.
  14. In order to have statistically significant results with relatively low margin of error you need a little bit over 1000 respondents in a poll regardless of population size. Here a good article that explains it for statistics newbies: https://towardsdatascience.com/statistical-foundations-of-election-poll-c1fade2dce2e
  15. Why do you expect them to verify foreign licenses when they don't even verify local ones?
  16. You could split them up and read one sentence a day papa. Gotta go easy at your age 🙂
  17. Cheers that's the positive content that is needed. I like it when someone who is used to riding bigger bikes reviews a scooter because they have the necessary experience to judge the bike compared to people who have never experienced stronger and better equipped machines. I posted a few reviews here years ago but have stopped because it felt like there wasn't enough of an interested and like-minded audience plus like you said there'll always be the weirdos on pretty much any thread including this one who claim motorcycle riding in Thailand is too dangerous blabla. Nothing constructive to contribute. I've got over 200 thousand km between my bikes in Thailand without serious injuries. Been all around the place and there's a lot to talk about. But I found it a more rewarding experience to talk with friends I know than posting online.
  18. I think the reason why the motorcycle subforum has gotten less lively is multi-fold and might depend on an individual readers perspective. From my point of view there was a time when a lot of regular posters left due to disagreements with moderation (as mentioned). At the same time discussion on TV and then AN changed in various ways. Now there is a lot of political fighting going on. To me it looks like as if that's a big part of the active topics. Then there are the huge number of trolls, sh*tposters, conspiracy theorists and people who seem to have some kind of mental issues. People who post all day, every day. Always the same guys under various accounts. That's of course less the case in the motorcycle subforum but it pollutes for example the right side where it shows active topics. To have a good productive and friendly plus lively forum is not easy. On the one hand I am discouraged to post because nearly every thread is being invaded by people who actually have zero interest in motorcycles in Thailand and therefor the topic which is just tedious but at the same time heavy moderation of these might also kill interest for others. Look at this thread, there are maybe 2 or 3 posts which I'd consider having some value and being on-topic. The signal to noise ratio is low which makes it less interesting to read and poses a barrier to wanting to positively contribute. Thailand itself has also changed. The motorcycle market in Thailand has changed. The expats have changed. There is a lot more availability. There are other sources of information. Now there are a lot of Russians and Chinese. I don't see them taking part in this forum in numbers that anywhere reflect the numbers of expats. They have their own communication places. It's not all bad, this forum still has some good content and posters. I don't know if any change in direction will happen, we'll see. In the end, a forum is what its users make of it. A reflection of its users.
  19. That page is "relaxed" about the truth. There are fake people on there and there are real people with fake names. I've opened a topic on that in the past. It's one reason why I don't trust The Thaiger one bit. Reader beware.
  20. What's up with the number plate of the bus in the picture? That's not a real Thai numberplate which would have Thai characters instead of "QC" or "OC". It should also be yellow insteadof white. Fake?
  21. Very unfortunate news. I am not a fan of The Thaiger with its fake author profiles and AI generated and completely ridicolously bombasticly written content that usually is of quite low journalistic quality. Recently we've seen AseanNow also start to post AI generated content. I don't have a problem with AI per-se as I use it myself, it's the dishonesty in its usage that rubs me the wrong way.
  22. I posted a link which has an explanation for newbies and also includes the math. You could use it as a refresher. I am surprised how someone who took statistics does not know the basics. But then again I interviewed someone last week for a job who also claimed to have taken a statistics course and didn't know the slightest bit about... well statistics. I don't know what some schools teach in their statisticics courses but it ain't statistics it seems.
  23. Jonny in Statistics a sample size of just over 1000 is usually enough to make statistically significant statements with low margin of error regardless of the population size. You choose a certain confidence (usually 95%) and then you get back a margin of error. One thing that has to be taken into account is the standard deviation in your results. The math formulas don't have the population size as variable in them which tells us the population size does not matter. The more often you conduct a random trial (a poll vote) the more smaller your window of possible results (margin of error) will get. Flip a coin 1000 times and you will be quite confident that even if you flipped it a trillion more times you'll get a 50/50 chance of head or tail. If you are interested to see how this works here's an article that's not bad: https://towardsdatascience.com/statistical-foundations-of-election-poll-c1fade2dce2e That's why you will see nearly every poll use a sample size of just over 1000. That's when the math says it's good enough. What you should be cautious about though is how a poll was conducted. E.g. the exact people they asked, the questions they asked and so on. That's where a lot of room for manipulation and mistake lies. That being said, it's not a great result when a poll conducted by Republicans shows Biden leading.
  24. You are either trolling or didn't read the article. The poll was canducted by a Rupublican pollster. Or you are saying the Republican pollster is a woke idiot. All of these are not great options.
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