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Ketyo

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Posts posted by Ketyo

  1. COVID29.jpg

     

     

    Some say the more vaccine you are exposed to the more serious can be the illness... so if you go into one of these places asymptomatic or with mild symptoms how will you come out?

     

    In some countries people are OK about getting tested because they trust the government (mostly) and can self-isolate at home unless they get really sick, in which case they go to a proper hospital and will be helped as much as possible

     

    In other countries where the people don't trust the government because it rules by force, people avoid getting tested because if they are positive even with no or mild symptoms there is mandatory isolation, but there aren't enough free hospital beds, so they go into a big room with hundreds of sick people and reduced healthcare like a leper colony 

     

    And the number of cases is massively under-reported and can't easily be controlled

     

     

     

    • Like 1
  2. Probably better to take it.

     

    2 doses are supposedly quite effective at stopping people getting hospitalised or dying. But it's bad at stopping people catching serious, mild and symptomless cases compared to western vaccines.

     

    It means that even if a large fraction of the population takes Sinovac, COVID is still going to circulate. It's almost impossible to get to herd immunity with weak vaccines.

     

    The worst case would be to be the unvaccinated person when everyone else is vaccinated with Chinese (but not dying) and COVID is circulating at high levels. It would be a risky position to be in.  That's what could happen is we waiting for a western vaccine as they open up.

     

    Look at Chile, Mongolia, Hungary, Serbia, Maldives, Seychelles, UAE, Turkey. All relied a lot on Chinese vaccines and have got very high vaccination rates.... but still had large waves of cases (and deaths) when they tried to open up. 

    • Confused 1
  3. 4 hours ago, tomazbodner said:

    This is beyond racist statement. And then to "limit prevention" is probably the opposite of what he meant. So it makes me wonder if he really said that or if this is just a very bad translation, or something made up by the journalist who first reported it?

     

    On another thought - with 7 years overstay the man hasn't been out of the country longer than that. How is he COVID risk?

     

    I suppose he's talking about the African and middle eastern drug dealing gangs that operate out of Soi 1. He likely thinks calling them "middle eastern and people of color" is less racist so the easily offended shriek less.  He should just say what he means. "We are targeting the African and middle eastern drug dealing gangs in Soi 1". If that is what they have decided to do. But why he would announce that before the gangs have been shut down, I'm not sure.

  4. These charts are from worldometer.info on 4th April. 3 countries using the Chinese Coronavac. The indicators all point in the wrong direction. Not sure if the vaccine is not very effective or something else is happening like the countries are opening up too fast.

     

    But we do know that the Chines have not released any data on the effectiveness of Coronavac in phase 3 trials. And we know that Coronavac uses old technology from 100 years ago...using inactivated viruses. Rather than modern genetic modification approaches used by western companies.

     

    It is worth watching what happens in Coronavac countries to see if it works properly.

     

     

    1032457861_Screenshot2021-04-04at15_47_54.png.61edfc277c5827c399dd56b08b722d62.png

  5. Nobody wants to live under a dictatorship. Not really. Where the authorities can arrest and terrorize you for sharing your opinion. Where they censor information they don't want you to see. Where they lie so they can stay in power and take money from the people. Not really.

     

    You would think that countries in which dictators rule by force are unstable and that eventually the people will overthrow them like in Eastern Europe and the USSR and some of the middle east. But maybe the people also need outside help like with Nazi Germany, Italy and Imperial Japan.
     

    I don't know if the Mynanarese people will be strong enough to get rid of their dictators.  Or whether other dictators will step in to prevent that. 

     

    I wonder how the Chinese and Russian dictatorships - the two main sources of present-day dictatorships - will eventually fall. Whether it will be a long or short time. 

    • Like 1
  6. Thai government institutions sadly missed the wave of new public management in the 1980s and 90s. Then they missed the post-new public management ideas of the last 20 years. They form a pre-modernization era bureaucratic state. Where having the right papers in place (even if it takes 30 60 90 days) is more important than the end result of saving lives. To make things worse, the PM actually believes that enforcing rules is his main reason for going to work. He doesn't have much of a concept of  system-wide reform and improvement.

    • Like 1
    • Thanks 1
  7. On 11/3/2020 at 5:19 PM, mark131v said:

    Wirat also rejected protesters’ demand for PM Prayut Chan-o-cha to quit, saying he must stay on to resolve the country’s problems.

     

    But I thought he was the cause of the problems.

     

    By usurping power by force. And then changing the constitution so that he could be installed as PM/Dictator.

     

    And then attempting to remove freedoms and attack human rights and ban and crackdown on anything that moved, in a simple brainless, military, control freak, angry type of way that most Thais and Farangs bitterly despise.

     

    He will never be liked or accepted by the people. There will always be protests until he steps down. Or until the Thai military crush the protesters like at Tiannamen square.

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