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Serindib

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Posts posted by Serindib

  1. 24 minutes ago, nobodysfriend said:

    It is hard to understand that there are still so many deniers ... on this forum as well ...

    The death rate is not 0.something per cent , but ...

     "At least 467,085 people globally have died from COVID-19 and 8,933,339 have been infected by the novel coronavirus that causes it : https://graphics.reuters.com/CHINA-HEALTH-MAP/0100B59S39E/index.html "

     
    Active cases: 4,137,534 (46.30%)
    People recovered: 4,328,720 (48.50%)
    Deaths: 467,085 (5.20%)
     

    (Reuters) - The World Health Organization reported a record increase in global coronavirus cases on Sunday, with the total rising by 183,020 in a 24-hour period.

    The biggest increase was from North and South America with over 116,000 new cases, according to a daily report here Total global cases are over 8.7 million with more than 461,000 deaths, according to the WHO.

     

    Coronavirus: Brazil becomes second country to pass 50,000 deaths : https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-53132225

     

    Germany's coronavirus reproduction rate jumps, indicating rising contagion : https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-germany/germanys-coronavirus-reproduction-rate-jumps-indicating-rising-contagion-idUSKBN23S0PJ

     

     

    Some will be denying until the end . WHY ?
     

    A 5 % mortality rate of 8 billion people equals 400 million deaths. 

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  2. The death rate, as calculated for other pandemics, is the number of dead divided by the total population. So, for Thailand, 20 divided by 70 million.

     

    Using the data from Italy the base rate probability of survival(not death) is 99.998% for all individuals.

     

    This base rate probability of survival would then have to be adjusted up or down depending on age and health issues for each individual.

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