URMySunshine
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Posts posted by URMySunshine
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6 hours ago, elliss said:
You are being optimistic .
Thailand as we knew it, will never be the same ..
The world won't but Thailand will have it's own variant of going to hell in handcart.
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19 minutes ago, mike111 said:
No intention to start a WW3 here, but I've previously checked the specific items you've mentioned:
1. You could probably find even cheaper units but I wouldn't rent anything going for less than 9-10K. There's no free lunch here - just go and inspect those sub 8K "bargains" - pure rat holes with old furniture, broken A/C and whatever.
2. Entry/Exit costs (I'm assuming you're referring to government taxes) are minor and are usually shared by the buyer and seller. For a VT2 studio they hover in the25K baht range for the buyer and seller each.
3. That's impossible to quantify. But the point here is that one shouldn't necessarily look at purchasing a residence purely as an investment. It's a place you buy to make it your own, and let's not forget that 1.4M is around 43K USD, so around the price of a new car. You would one if you were going to use it extensively wouldn't you? and a car depreciates by around 10% yearly no matter what (unless it's something exotic) while a property typically doesn't. So people are gladly willing to accept around a 50% car value depreciation over 5 years but are horrified at a 15%-20% depreciation, if at all, on an equally priced property that they've lived in, enjoyed, and made it their home during that time.
4. One of the merits of VT2 is that owner fees are low since it wasn't built with all nosensical BS like floating gardens and water fountains and whatever. Yearly fees are low at around 10K baht.
5. I didn't mention the cost of room maintenance due to rentals since I've mentioned the assumption is that the owner would reside in the unit.
6. Maybe condos in newer projects have become more expensive in terms of price per sq.m but as I've mentioned I wouldn't buy there because of inflated land prices, poor workmanship, and high maintenance fees. VT2 avoids all these pitfalls and I haven't seen the units there becoming significantly more expensive.
I've looked around enough to say that VT2 is in the sweet spot in terms of purchase cost, on-going fees, construction quality, and location, and that's why I think it's worth considering.
(x1.5 the price of pickup or 1x standatd Tesla Model 3)
Pretty much on the money - I would add if you do want a condo to live - then maybe consider a lower floor on the low season dark side - (Theppraya road side) as they are much cheaper. Or if you want to be really brave and like company the ground floor on the non-poolside. They are quiet , cheap and you could even run a business from there if you wanted. But as I said upthread I wouldn't buy now and it really is my post-expiry wife's landing point. Not really for me - I'm done with LoS. Maybe give Phil Christy a cheeky offer I heard he's holding 17 units and wants to sell !
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6 minutes ago, Iron Tongue said:
Are they sourcing ventilators or will these just be warehouses to store the infected?
The latter I hope they have good supplies of phenobarbital. That said China might ship them a few hundred and some personnel giving any China hating farang who succumbs a life or death dilemma.
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11 minutes ago, mrfill said:
The UK has just had 10 years of austerity which has run down the Health Service to the extent that it cannot cope. And in the last 4 years we have had a lot of instability because of the brexit nonsense which has not been helpful.
The only good that come out of this would be if the non-doms and corporates get to pay a fair amount of tax or at least greater than zero. Public health has only just suddenly become ever so important to the politicians but it has been mostly hot air. We need 20000 ventilators and have 4000 - the government proudly announced today that a further 4000 have been acquired so we are 60% short. Testing is only for those in hospital showing symptoms (with notable exceptions for politicians and the rich and famous) and we hope to reach 25000/day 'within weeks'. Weeks????
The average Brit will be a full blown virtual statist commie when this has runs its course and the government are getting us ready for potentially 6 months of disruption. The rich will have pretty much nowhere to run either - they will need a soaking.
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5 hours ago, RickBradford said:
Just for perspective, an average of 17,000 people in the UK die each year of seasonal flu. The highest recent year was 2014-15 when the death toll was 28,330.
Covid is a danger to old people, for sure, but it is not some completely new apocalypse.
The modelling suggest 250,000 without intervention - so 10x more than the worse flu season and overwhelm all healthcare facilities in short order.
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/196234/covid19-imperial-researchers-model-likely-impact/
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35 minutes ago, Nyezhov said:
Yeah, just what we need, more oil. That post clearly illustrates that even outdated Soviet slogans never die, even when petro politics changes.
But no mind, yes, of course, you are right, the rapacious capitalist vultures in the USA are waging war on innocent freedom loving people to steal the resources of the Motherland and put the workers under the boot of the imperialist tyrants.
Yup you nailed it Comrade - welcome to the revolution !
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1 hour ago, timendres said:
It took 4 years to claw back the losses in the 2008 financial crisis. 4 years to claw back the dotcom implosion. And both of those events took well over a year to bottom out. We are one month into this debacle, and we still have not seen the inevitable ripples across various markets. We are not even close to "a good time to buy".
I'm up over £600 on a 20k share ISA flutter last week. But I see it as a bet rather than investment. For fun as it were.
Portfolio 2Net contributions£20,000.00Investment Returns£616.71Total fees inc. VAT£0.00Current Value£20,616.71FUND VALUATIONS
Portfolio 2
Net contributions£20,000.00
Investment Returns£616.71
Total fees inc. VAT£0.00
Current Value£20,616.71
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It will come as no surprise that we will be paying for this for years to come. Probably something like Greece austerity ++ and rising prices, inflation and falling spending power. There will huge loan defaults and mortgage delinquency and the banks will need to be bailed out again with QE almost to the moon. Paradoxically this could mean more assets price inflation as the value of money is eroded and wealth looks for assets rather than fiat. As for the exchange rate vs thai baht. That all depends whether the army can keep the lid on things which if they don't bail out the poor and soon could be the big unknown.
UK stability will keep the Uk attractive to international investors so there may be yet another mini boon for the wealthy and London and SE property market holding up. As for the red wall - anyone's guess if the working class find their standard of living taking a dive compared to the wealthy then it might go back red and deep red. One thing's for sure there will be no going back to normal that boat has well and truly sailed.
But one thing is clear the Uk as a nation has put public health and the protection of its people in the crisis at the center of policy and for that it should be applauded.
Britain faces years of austerity after government's massive coronavirus bailouts amid fears of 2.75million jobless by June and a 10% hit to GDP
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The twitter search term for those interested is บุรีรัมย์ . Loads of videos , pics and Thai comment going on there.
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7 minutes ago, gearbox said:
That's why nowadays the democracy doesn't work. The morons with no formal or little formal education should be stripped from voting rights. They would vote for anyone who will promise them something for nothing. And they are led to believe if they are going to war they would win it.
Not holding high hopes about the world as is now.
It's always same same never different. Fly the flag , beat the drum and march to war with economic collapse preceding that. Hopefully wise heads and calm hearts will prevail.
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If everyone wears one and washes their hands and practices social distancing then you massively cut down the rate of infection. Even a bad mask reduces the sputum aerosol massively and thus a route for community infection. So they protect the community collectively rather than necessarily the user. They would need an airtight FPP3 mask to do that. Plus they stop some random Somchai having a pop at you and at least for that reason alone are worth wearing.
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5 hours ago, AussieBob18 said:
Just like the modelling to claim climate change will destroy the planet in 12 years? Sorry - off topic but I had to say that.
Back to it ...........
Sadly that's already had a head start in your country.
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2 hours ago, daveAustin said:
#9 has/had potential to dwarf them all.
I've always been scared of lightning and to date I've never had a problem. Quid pro quo.
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5 minutes ago, Susco said:
That's also what I'm saying, but I think there is more behind this.
The working class got too wealthy, so encourage them to buy equities, which is easy in a never ending bull market.
Then let the markets crash while the 1% is in cash already. Rinse and repeat
The shoeshine boy moment. Twas ever thus hopefully those robbed will scale the walls of the elites and burn them down to teach them a lesson rather than turn on those less fortunate.
Vive La Liberte !
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37 minutes ago, Susco said:
I have said it in another thread and will say it here again.
From the early start of the measures taken, I have advocated this is all about controlling people.
Big brother and suppression, and testing how far they can go with it.
I don't want to claim the virus was created for that purpose, but it was man created for a certain purpose, and i don't think it were the Chinese.
In my opinion, the Chinese have done a pretty good job containing the virus in their own country by locking down almost an entire country, but that is not too difficult in a communist country.
The other countries in the world have seen an opportunity in this, to test how far they can go with their own population.
I agree about the seriousness of the infections in countries like Italy and Spain, but the infections are concentrated to certain areas and 90% of the fatalities worldwide are in a certain age group, so no need to lock down a complete country.
Have you also noticed that for the past few months most of the famous investors were mostly in cash, but were still advocating that the markets were healthy?
At market peaks most of the institutional investors are taking profits whilst shilling the rigged game to retails before the blow. I got out based on the science at the end of February and am back in based on the science and as an ex scientist this was an easy call to make. The markets haven't been healthy for years - just Ponzi shored up with QE and herd mentality. Sadly many and some here thought it was a one way bet. There's no such thing. I'm not a spiv but if I see free money I pick it up , oh and don't follow Trump he's a bankrupt and liar. Another easy call.
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22 minutes ago, Logosone said:
Yes, for example I saw one fool claim that there is no immunity to Covid19, because people don't develop immunity to Aids. He didn't know that the Aids virus is a stealth virus which is makes it much harder for the immune system to break down. Completely different illness. Imagine what a fool.
A lot of people talk a lot of nonsense on here. You really have to be careful.
Sometimes I think I'm through with here but wise guys like you come along and make it worth the while.
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27 minutes ago, bartender100 said:
260 died yesterday in the UK, one of those i knew personally, and she dies in complete agony France had even more deaths
And some clowns think this is not serious
Sorry to hear of your loss. For some sadly this is going to be very serious indeed , whatever the eventual outcome society wise.
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24 minutes ago, Logosone said:
To be fair Boris was probably innocent here. He was clearly embarrassed by this Neil Ferguson, one of his main advisers. First he published a model which suggested the UK should go for herd immunity. Then he suddenly completely revised his paper and went a different way, strong suppression. Poor Boris didn't know which way his head was spinning and his crack team didn't prevent him from becoming infected. Or the health secretary. Looks like something in that Cobra meeting room needs to be washed.
But joking aside indeed, because this is serious, obviously it is not inconsequential for those who are affected and whose immune system can not defeat the virus. There is absolutely no doubt whatsoever that despite exceptions this will mostly be older people, those who die are around the 80 years age mark. In terms of health, it will be inconsequential for most, even this Dr Frankenstein, sorry, Ferguson, now concedes the number of deaths in the UK will be 20,000 or considerably less. So that's what, 0.003% of the population of the UK, of mostly the very old over 80.
However, something of course Dr
FrankensteinFerguson has not calculated through in his rather huge brain is the economic consequences of the total lockdowns which the world is now doing because of his half-arsed fly by the elbow seat of his pants spreadsheet calculations. Imagine how many people have been ruined, their lives destroyed because this guy can't get his figures right. He had one job. One. And he bocked it up.Advisors advise ministers decide is an age old British mandarin mantra. So the buck stop with Boris I'm afraid and his team in the end. If this was China though and what you say turns out to be true poor old Professor Ferguson would be facing a firing squad. Of course what will likely happen is we all show off how we can respond and pull together as a nation and we wind this down sooner rather later and pat all ourselves on the back at what a good job we have done.
Finally there is a fair bit of triumphalist hindsight in your analysis now with 3 months of data in to make these assumptions. We can all predict the lottery numbers the day after the draw. Now what do I do with cupboards full of pasta , flour and beans.....and bleedin oxygen can you believe !
And here you go the dirty secret if that's what it is will remain to most just that, a secret , for most it will be declared a triumph for public health policy in the short to medium term.
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/coronavirus-death-toll-could-just-21769975
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28 minutes ago, Logosone said:We have definitely witnessed a world wide adoption of Dr Ferguson's social distancing fetish.
Not completely of course, there are exceptions:
The Netherlands has so far chosen a softer set of measures than most Western European countries; it was late to close its schools and restaurants and hasn’t ordered a full lockdown. In a 16 March speech, Prime Minister Mark Rutte rejected “working endlessly to contain the virus” and “shutting down the country completely.” Instead, he opted for “controlled spread” of the virus among the groups least at risk of severe illness while making sure the health system isn’t swamped with COVID-19 patients.
However, even the Americans were influenced by this infernal piece of <deleted> report from Neil Ferguson:
"American officials said the report, which projected up to 2.2 million deaths in the United States from such a spread, also influenced the White House to strengthen its measures to isolate members of the public."
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/17/world/europe/coronavirus-imperial-college-johnson.html
Some said governments should treat the report’s projections about suppression policies with the same caution. It says social distancing measures might have to be imposed for 18 months or more, at least intermittently, until a vaccine is developed and tested. But the report acknowledges this is uncertain, given the possibility of drug treatments and the mystery of how the virus is transmitted.
British officials recognize that their health service faces a moment of truth. All non-urgent operations in England will be postponed for at least three months, starting April 15, to free up 30,000 beds to help tackle the coronavirus.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/17/world/europe/coronavirus-imperial-college-johnson.html
Part of the reason why the Americans looked at the Imperial College, apart from the fact that it was IC and it was in English was of course that Neil Ferguson deliberately flirted with the US in a coquettish manner and also refers to the US in his paper.
There is no question that many governments copied what the US and UK were doing. Singapore, South Korea, Germany, Sweden, Netherlands being some of the notable exceptions, and coincidentally being the most successful in mitigating deaths.
So basically everyone is following the wrong model. The UK model. Yes, your highly benign influence again screwing up the world for generations to come. Hello Palestine, Syria, Kenya, Zimbabwe, Northern Ireland, Malaysia, Cyprus, Nigeria, there is nothing the British will not mess up. Of course this is a new scale.
Boris. Did.It We were warned. Trump's gonna be furious so please don't tell him.
Joking aside though that's your spin on the NYT report and doesn't quite explain why ER's are overwhelmed with multiple additional deaths when the virus reaches a critical mass in its host countries.Time and time again. It's like the Y2K bug if it all goes well then folk will say was it worth it. If it is ultimately inconsequential as you suggest then a world rest may turn out to be a healthy way to start the world and countries on a different trajectory. A system reboot that cleans out a load of accumulated <deleted> that was taking us nowhere. The bubble to end all bubbles had to pop in the end and the world needs to move to more domestic production and a more equitable way of organising society. This changes have already begun.
If Trump wants to go that way then up to him here in the Uk we will wait it out for a couple of months, get enhanced healthcare facilities in place and support our population - because that's what we do. And in Thailand a great reckoning is long overdue - bring it on. And of course the US is basically a rogue English colony - it's in your DNA. Korea,Vietnam,Cambodia,Laos,Iraq to name but a few if we are in the business of cataloging clusterf&cks - it's what Empires do after all.
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1 hour ago, Olmate said:
Healthland let you in?
Needs must.
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1 minute ago, Vigilante said:
You are in the wrong thread bud!
He may well be but I'm glad I looked her up.
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1 hour ago, AussieBob18 said:
Everyone will be pleased to know that two 63 year olods who had the virus in Australia have fully recovered and are back in USA. That is right - Tom Hanks and his wife are fine now and back in the USA - thank goodness - I was so worried and I assume you all were too of course ????
Clearly this is a catastrophic infection that is going to kill millions. And it is not as if there are any other causes of humans dieing in the world in such numbers - not true - otjherwise surely we would be told about it. It is all fake news when they talk about the millions who have died from TB and Malaria and Hepatitis and HIV/AIDs and car accidents etc etc. I dont klnow anyone - so it is just not true. No - this virus is real and it will kill millions I tell you - millions. I am so glad they have shut down the world's economies and crashed all the stock markets and created massive business losses and inevitable bankruptcies and many millions of unemployed. No I am serious - stop laughing at me. And - now they know how to do it I hope it stays forever. That way we can maybe stop climate change and the planet's catastrophic death within 12 years - true - AOC said so.
Satire? What satire?? This is too serious to joke about.
Hi Bob hope you will be volunteering at ER when they need a hand for this pesky flu. They sure could do with a helping hand.
UK coronavirus death toll under 20,000 would be 'good result' - health chief says
in World News
Posted
2 doctors have died already. They didn't sign up for a war but looks like they have got one nevertheless. To say we in the UK love them is to underestimate that word. When this is finally over we need to richly reward them and not just with our heartfelt thanks but cold hard cash. Branson take note with your greedy outstretched hand from Necker Island a Great Reckoning is coming. But not now that can wait.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/29/worrying-event-deaths-of-nhs-doctors-from-covid-19-stark-reminder-of-pandemic