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havair
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Posts posted by havair
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Born and raised and lived in New York most of my life . Still have family on UWS . I would suggest Charlotte N.C. Its a great city with temperate climate . Its not too big , not too small . Things are close by . They can always call an Uber for short trips if they can not walk too much . Many neighborhoods provide plenty to do within walking distance . People are great there as well . Covid virus was rather mild in that area . Easy to get back and forth to New York if needed . If you need more info and places to stay in Charlotte let me know .
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1 hour ago, brucec64 said:One more time for the slower ones in the room. Road accidents do not spread exponentially. One accident does not spread to 2 then to 4, ... Not the same thing at all.
Sir , the virus was here in Thailand going back to December or January . We have been fortunate due to a variety of factors not to have incurred the full wrath of the virus . We have only 50+ deaths . There is no evidence at all of the virus spreading exponentially here . Each country in the world has different variables . Here in Thailand , we have abundant sunshine and high humidity which has been shown to hinder the virus . Also many studies have shown a weaker strain of the virus is currently here in SE Asia . I was in favor of the initial precautions enacted here , and they have proven correct . It is now time to begin to relax many of these orders . We can not live in this type of a state until a vaccine if found , if it ever is . There is no exponential spread here . Hospitals have not been overrun . There are lines of starving people everyday , they need to begin to work again .
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1 hour ago, Ketyo said:
There are 2 things Prayut doesn't understand from what the cabinet minutes reveal.
1. Most countries are trying to get the transmission rate (R) below 1.0. That means an infected person infects less than 1 other person and COVID will die out on its own. When R is less than 1, counties can open up slowly trying to keep the R below 1 all the time. In Thailand R is way below 1 already. However Prayut doesn't get this. He wants R to be zero. Whenever he sees a single case he thinks there is too much transmission and social freedom and wants to keep controls and restrictions in place.
2. The lockdown means that people spread coronavirus between family members and people in the same household mainly. This is how it is supposed to be. It can't be avoided. That is the smallest unit of transmission. The text says that the new cases are from people in the same house and close contacts. This cannot be avoided even under reasonably tight lockdown. When Prayut sees any new cases at all he he thinks the cases are from community spread - people outside socialising too much and such. They are not. They are mainly unavoidable and from within households. Longer and more restrictions will not affect this.
The social distancing measures are working very well and more than enough for COVID to be contained and for the health service to cope. But Prayut sees lack of control and social disorder in every new case. It will be a long road out of this for the poor Thai people. And a very damaged economy if he carries on with these over the top curfews and alcohol bans. He needs to start to lift the restrictions now, and in a managed way.
Good post.
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The idea of a lockdown is to flatten the curve to make sure hospitals were not overrun . In Thailand for a myriad of reasons that doesnt seem to be the case . In fact in all of SE Asia the effects of the virus have been muted . We have had only 50 deaths and our neighbors have had similarly low cases . A continued lockdown is unwarranted . Open the country slowly , wear masks, practice social distancing , no large gatherings etc . The damage to the people who have no money and can not eat far outweighs the damage of the virus in Thailand at this time . We can not eradicate a virus with lockdowns , there will be more cases in the future . Only a vaccine can do that and it is 12-18 months away . WE must learn to live with it for now .
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1 hour ago, rbkk said:
I absolutely get that. What I am sceptical about is the effect of heat and humidity. I don't think the virus is that temperature sensitive. In my link above (#250) they had to almost boil it to kill it. It seems to be thriving in SG.
Most of the reports I read seem to think there is a correlation between higher heat and humidity and the transmission of the virus . The higher the heat and humidity the harder it is for the virus to survive .... Perhaps
its a weaker strain of the virus here , perhaps its the higher heat and humidity , could be many other factors as well .
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8 minutes ago, rbkk said:
Thanks for the reply. (^ I think you mean UNfavourable conditions..) Timwin said the virus was VERY temperature sensitive. Seems odd, don't you think, that Singapore, positioned 70 miles from the equator, today announced the highest number of cases in SEA?
https://news.yahoo.com/singapore-migrant-coronavirus-cases-highlight-100301089.html
Article above stated that Singapores increase may be due to the virus infecting a disproportionate number of migrant workers getting sick .
Many sleep 10-12 in a room in cramped and unsanitary conditions . These migrant workers also were not included in a plan to distribute masks through out the country .
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Does Hydroxychloroquine work as well ? ????
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Its a sad man my friend who's living in his own skin and can't stand the company .
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Interesting take from Sweden
in COVID-19 Coronavirus
Posted
For those who feel Sweden is taking the right path in fighting the virus, What do you feel is an acceptable death rate compared to its neighbors , Denmark , Finland , Norway ? Twice as many deaths , 3 times as many deaths , 5 times ?