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Inala

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About Inala

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  1. The 1918 Spanish Flu went away after roughly two years without any vaccine for it ever being developed. It took 500 million to be infected out of the world's 1.8 billion population at the time for it to fade away in Oct 1920. This was attributed to herd immunity.
  2. Well, next year is only 31 days away, so this is not really an earth shattering announcement...
  3. Seems a massive overreaction to cancel a trip....if not very elderly or immunocompromised, I would just get on with it.
  4. Yep, we were wandering off, as the OP's question on when it will be possible to enter without quarantine is so intrinsically linked to the evolution of the pandemic. For what its worth to the OP, from the little bit of research I did, my own opinion is it will be towards the end of 2021 given that vaccine development seems to be going well.
  5. Yeah, when I read back through what happened with the Spanish flu, <30% of the world's 1.8 billion population at the time became infected and yet the pandemic somehow still ended. It seems the infection rate for the 1957 Asian flu and 1968 Hong Kong flu did not reach anywhere near that infection rate, yet both pandemics ended before the vaccine for each was finally developed.
  6. ha ha, fair enough. But I stand firmly by two of my three conclusions- One - Pandemics always end one way or another. As this one will. Two - late 2021 will see out this virus, if a vaccine is developed. My third, being the potential decade long period to reach levels of immunity in the community to kill off the virus was of course a little subjective, but, still based on what happened in the past.
  7. Thanks, I thought I did good as well. But just a correction, it's not cut and paste, it's old fashioned research. Done to answer the question raised by the OP (and many others) The conclusions are mine. What did you think of the timelines I offered?
  8. To know what will happen in the future, one must look to the past. In the case of pandemics, a look back at history shows us that all pandemics come to an end. The most common theme of what it takes for them to end is for a very large proportion of the population needs to become infected and thereby develop immunity. Although, not everyone needs to be infected (or vaccinated) as it is a fact that not everyone will become sick from a virus, with many people naturally immune to some infections for reasons not yet fully understood. The Justinian Plague killed half of the w
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