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Thailand forecast: 2019 and beyond


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Regular TV forum readers can learn quite a few things about their host country, and where it is heading, providing that they can separate the wheat from the chaff, and add a grain of salt(y humor) to the mix.

 

With that in mind, let's forecast...

 

1. Visa and administrative annoyances: bad and getting worse

 

Unless you have 25,000 to 30,000 USD, euros or pounds, but not baht, to spare (retirement visa) or to spend (elite visa), the search for the ideal visa will sooner or later send you into a state of obsession, or depression.

 

2. Thai women: stable with no improvement in sight

 

Unless you are one of those Thaivisa members (there seems to be many of them) who has hit the jackpot and found the perfect Thai woman, who masters English, has got a fine education and a well paying job, can cook anything, is relentless in bed, and has a brother that will tend your garden and fix the plumbing of your house, you are in for a rough ride.

 

A Thai woman will make you age at twice the normal speed, and go broke even faster, that is if you are lucky enough to avoid being beaten to a pulp while she will empty your wallet!

 

3. Local weather: warm and getting warmer

 

Thanks to the "very stable genius" (TM) presiding over the Land of the Free (not that free anymore), we know that climate change is a "Chinese hoax" (TM).

And yet, for some unknown reason, climate is changing in the Land of Smiles, and not for the better.

We are actually going through one of the warmest "winters" on record, after having one of the shortest rain season, and every year the cards are reshuffled and we never know what weather we gonna get...a major inconvenient for the farmer and the sunbather, not so much for the beerdrinker (lots of them apparently) who spends his days at a roadside bar, taking full advantage of the toxic emissions coming from the relentless traffic.

 

4. Traffic, road condition and safety: worse and getting worser

 

Thailand is number one (in deathtoll) and intends to remain there!

 

5. Real estate: bad and not getting better

 

Overbuilt, overpriced...the country is covered with unsalable condos, and more are to come.

If only the Chinese were Russians, they would buy anything at any price...and also pay 300 baht for a 300 meter taxi ride, as in the Extreme City...but unfortunately they are not.

 

6. Tourism: more and moar and moooaaar

 

The quest for always more always ends with the search for the lowest common denominator.

With 1.4 billion potential visitors, China has the Thai authorities salivating, never mind the fact that quantity and quality are two different things...something that is not taught in local universities.

 

Meanwhile, the Chinese have their own lines at the airport, while the Westerners have their own deportation cell!

 

7. Air travel

 

Suvarnabhumi airport has finally got its X ray floor, where potential terrorists, a.k.a. passengers, are dutifully searched, according to the standards developed by the Cheney regime in the early years of this wonderful century.

 

Don Mueang for its part has been taken over by Air Asia, the company where a 100 baht ticket ends up costing you 300 baht (reminds me of Amazon practices)...if you happen to travel with another company, say Nok Air, be ready to be late, very late...

 

Having said all that, why would anyone in one's right mind even consider to move to Thailand, you ask?

 

The answer is quite simple: because it is even worse in most other places, notably in the West!

 

 

 

 

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Worse in most other places? I don't think soooooo, jaded lollypop living on a budget is what you sound like, stop and smell the roses once in a while for a small price you can buy a bottle of rose scent that they stick in oil burners keep it near by you always, and a jolly good new year to you..

 

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1 hour ago, AlexRRR said:

jaded lollypop living on a budget is what you sound like

 

If I was not on a budget, like most of us mere mortals, I would not live in Thailand, or anywhere else for that matter. 

 

I would constantly travel the world, in first class obviously, following the seasons, the events, or my desires. 

 

 

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That was a nice summary of the woes that are just behind the corner.

I thought that i was a pessimist, but i'm glad to be in good company.

After many years though, i have been going native a bit, so i'll just say "mai pen rai".

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On 12/29/2018 at 8:24 AM, Brunolem said:

Meanwhile, the Chinese have their own lines at the airport, while the Westerners have their own deportation cell!

:clap2::thumbsup:

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On 12/29/2018 at 8:24 AM, Brunolem said:

With that in mind, let's forecast...

 

I did a few months back make my forecast

 

Back when the first embassy decided to no longer do income verification

I said more would follow & then Mandatory Health Insurance for a 1 year extension would be next

 

The post was deleted I guess it was deemed off topic?

Though I see now topics run many pages long about such things & even a survey or two 🙄

 

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16 minutes ago, meechai said:

 

I did a few months back make my forecast

 

Back when the first embassy decided to no longer do income verification

I said more would follow & then Mandatory Health Insurance for a 1 year extension would be next

 

The post was deleted I guess it was deemed off topic?

Though I see now topics run many pages long about such things & even a survey or two 🙄

 

I suspect your post was deleted so as not to give the "children" any more ideas as to how the expat farangs could be further exploited (obviously deleted too slowly). 

 

I bet (assuming such activities were allowed) if I was to predict that next they'll be asking all foreigners to wear coloured uniforms suited to each day of the week, and that the cost of said clothing would be (say) 5000bt for each day, then this post would also get deleted..........  😉 

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On 12/29/2018 at 2:24 AM, Brunolem said:

Unless you are one of those Thaivisa members (there seems to be many of them) who has hit the jackpot and found the perfect Thai woman...

–you forgot that she's from a fine Chinese family...😉

 

However, in general I'm happy and "look at the bright side of life", so I don't share all of your predictions; perhaps because I don't live in the capital area...🙂

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2 hours ago, theguyfromanotherforum said:

Guys who hit the "jackpot" and got an educated woman are nothing like you described in the op.

 

Sounds more like a slave which is a typical mindset of most Westerners here, so no wonder they get taken to the cleaners.

Let me quote myself:

 

"who masters English, has got a fine education and a well paying job, can cook anything, is relentless in bed" 

 

I can't see anything here that relates to slavery... unless you think that women shouldn't cook, even though they are generally better at that than their male companions... 

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22 minutes ago, Brunolem said:

Let me quote myself:

 

"who masters English, has got a fine education and a well paying job, can cook anything, is relentless in bed" 

 

I can't see anything here that relates to slavery... unless you think that women shouldn't cook, even though they are generally better at that than their male companions... 

Have to disagree on that, to let a woman cook my meals can be as dangerous as letting her driving my car, but maybe i'm in the minority.🤔

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On 12/29/2018 at 8:24 AM, Brunolem said:

Unless you are one of those Thaivisa members (there seems to be many of them) who has hit the jackpot and found the perfect Thai woman, who masters English, has got a fine education and a well paying job, can cook anything, is relentless in bed, and has a brother that will tend your garden and fix the plumbing of your house, you are in for a rough ride.

An interesting OP and you have a lot of guts to prognosticate the future... 

 

As to the endless moan abt Thai ladies, I often wonder why there is little mention of what the guy might bring to the table... other than a pension and a complaint about sharing it??? So many guys here can barely go out to the supermarket alone. 

 

They want a lady with limited education to have a mastery of English and yet what % of the guys can converse in Thai... this is Thailand - learn Thai if you can. I often find it interesting that the same guys who call their wives 'stupid' are the ones whose wives learn English while they can barely say a few words of Thai...

 

On 12/29/2018 at 5:50 PM, Brunolem said:

I would constantly travel the world, in first class obviously, following the seasons, the events, or my desires. 

 

I travelled a lot when younger and more energetic and even then it was tiring... sure, first class would make it better but I would rather stay in one [or two] place lately.. but, to each his own...

 

I think many of your predictions are on their way to fulfilment... happy new year and best of luck next year.

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10 hours ago, kenk24 said:

An interesting OP and you have a lot of guts to prognosticate the future... 

 

As to the endless moan abt Thai ladies, I often wonder why there is little mention of what the guy might bring to the table... other than a pension and a complaint about sharing it??? So many guys here can barely go out to the supermarket alone. 

 

They want a lady with limited education to have a mastery of English and yet what % of the guys can converse in Thai... this is Thailand - learn Thai if you can. I often find it interesting that the same guys who call their wives 'stupid' are the ones whose wives learn English while they can barely say a few words of Thai...

 

I travelled a lot when younger and more energetic and even then it was tiring... sure, first class would make it better but I would rather stay in one [or two] place lately.. but, to each his own...

 

I think many of your predictions are on their way to fulfilment... happy new year and best of luck next year.

These are not really my predictions, but rather deductions made from reading TV Forum in 2018.

 

Yet, I also think that they reflect quite accurately what can be expected.

 

Upon arriving in Thailand, long ago, I taught myself the Thai language, including reading and writing.

 

I didn't push too far after I realized that everytime they were talking about numbers, which is often, they were talking about money, and also that they were repeating the same things over and over again (when the village chief makes an announcement over the village radio, he gives the date of the day about ten times in a couple of minutes).

 

While many foreigners bring little to their Thai companion, the truth is that many Thais can't make a difference between a worthy and an unworthy foreigner...to them, your value is how much you put on the table every month, never mind if you are a drunkard or a surgeon...

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I think money plays a part in choice of a partner in most cultures... How many parents in the west prefer that their daughters marry the sensitive unemployed poet instead of the graduate from medical school... 

 

People talk about money everywhere. I have often wondered who worries more about money, rich people or poor? 

 

I have certainly found my immersion into village life and culture fascinating. 

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I think money plays a part in choice of a partner in most cultures... How many parents in the west prefer that their daughters marry the sensitive unemployed poet instead of the graduate from medical school... 

 

People talk about money everywhere. I have often wondered who worries more about money, rich people or poor? 

 

I have certainly found my immersion into village life and culture fascinating. 

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