goldenbrwn1 Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Pound will pop up to around $1.50 rather quickly if there is a deal . It’s only uncertainty and fear of a no deal that is keeping sterling in the $1.25/35 range . If there is a no deal I suspect $1.10 or even parity to begin with but then after the dust settles and all the doom and fear mongering is proven wrong and the UK actually doesn’t descend into civil war. Sterling will rise yet again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BritManToo Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 2 hours ago, Grouse said: Only a Brexiter could quote such a useless statistic Why not take the average for a month before Brexit and and, say Jan 19. Spot rates can not be used in the way you suggest. Regression! Its about 20% I'll check movement against CHF - about 15% So, 5% THB appreciation,15% Brexit idiocy? Need expert opinions here.... Now do it with the Canadian $, Aussie $ and Euro. Still Brexit? I know you won't do it so here it is, Feb 2016 1USD = 36bht today 31bht -15% 1Euro = 40 bht today 35bht -12% 1GBP = 50bht today 40bht -20% 1$AU = 25bht today 22bht -12% 1$Can = 26bht today 24bht -8% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
owl sees all Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 7 hours ago, welovesundaysatspace said: I was missing the “Postively, it’s great entertainment watching others shoot themselves in the foot” option Come on spill the beans! Who's hid the noose? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allanos Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 2 hours ago, Johnyo said: It doesn’t affect hypocritical Brexiteers https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6713413/Billionaire-Brexiteer-Sir-James-Ratcliffe-relocates-Monaco-bid-save-4bn-tax.html Dayson is another one. Sent from my iPhone using Thaivisa Connect This thread is about the effects of Brexit on TVF members. What has the relocation of Ratcliffe and Dyson got to do with that? And they have different reasons, unconnected to Brexit, for their relocation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grouse Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 3 hours ago, nauseus said: Pre-referendum GBP v USD was 1.43, now at 1.29, so this is about 10%. GBP v THB is indeed down 20% from the pre-referendum level but the loss is really 10% due to Baht strength and 10% due to post Brexit speculation. The Euro is also down about 11% over the same period against the THB but we'd better not talk about that as it might be construed as idiocy! We are having a heated agreement! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grouse Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 1 hour ago, BritManToo said: Now do it with the Canadian $, Aussie $ and Euro. Still Brexit? I know you won't do it so here it is, Feb 2016 1USD = 36bht today 31bht -15% 1Euro = 40 bht today 35bht -12% 1GBP = 50bht today 40bht -20% 1$AU = 25bht today 22bht -12% 1$Can = 26bht today 24bht -8% Well thanks for that! I think cable is a special case but the others are fair enough. I'm no forex specialist. When taking contracts in another current I always killed the risk immediately by selling forward. I'm an engineer not a city barrow boy ???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnyo Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 This thread is about the effects of Brexit on TVF members. What has the relocation of Ratcliffe and Dyson got to do with that? And they have different reasons, unconnected to Brexit, for their relocation.How do you know they are not TVF members? and sure they have different reasons cash, cash and cash and screw paying taxes in the U.KSent from my iPhone using Thailand Forum - Thaivisa mobile app Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ballpoint Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 7 hours ago, JingjoDave said: Brexit is a great opportunity ,,,, FARK the euro-trash ,,,Britain , US , Australia , Canada , NZ etc should have let the Germans have them. The opportunity is to bring back the COMMONWEALTH. Let's see how Europe go's negotiating trade deals with us. As for Northern island ,, I am sure the US can add a mexican wall ???? Britain effectively told Australia, Canada, NZ, etc to "sod off, we're part of Europe". Now Britain thinks Australia, Canada, NZ, etc will be lining up to trade with it. No doubt they will strike deals, but only ones that suit them, and not out of any feelings for Commonwealth and comradeship with the old country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nauseus Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 3 hours ago, Grouse said: We are having a heated agreement! Damn. I should have cheated more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nauseus Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 2 hours ago, ballpoint said: Britain effectively told Australia, Canada, NZ, etc to "sod off, we're part of Europe". Now Britain thinks Australia, Canada, NZ, etc will be lining up to trade with it. No doubt they will strike deals, but only ones that suit them, and not out of any feelings for Commonwealth and comradeship with the old country. Can't blame them for cherry picking. But if they were so pissed off why stay in the club for 45 years? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SheungWan Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 8 hours ago, Crossy said: If the wheel comes off the pound (it likely won't) I'll be buying sterling like there's no tomorrow. I'll also be buying some cheap Sterling while the Hard Brexiteers celebrate their losses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
worgeordie Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Just get out,don't pay them any money,the other side don't realize it's going to affect them too, I know they had to be tough,to deter others from leaving the EU,but you feel Barnier,Juncker,and that tw@t Donald Tusk, are really reveling in making as difficult as possible for the UK. regards worgordie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ballpoint Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 9 hours ago, nauseus said: Can't blame them for cherry picking. But if they were so pissed off why stay in the club for 45 years? The Commonwealth isn't a trade group, and the UK countries have no special status within it. Besides which, you don't pull out of a club that does good because of a trade spat with one other member. In fact, "spat" and "pissed off" are too strong. The UK told its former dominions that there would be no more special trade privileges because it was part of Europe. No problem. just don't expect things to be as easy as some make out they will be when new trade negotiations start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nauseus Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 1 hour ago, ballpoint said: The Commonwealth isn't a trade group, and the UK countries have no special status within it. Besides which, you don't pull out of a club that does good because of a trade spat with one other member. In fact, "spat" and "pissed off" are too strong. The UK told its former dominions that there would be no more special trade privileges because it was part of Europe. No problem. just don't expect things to be as easy as some make out they will be when new trade negotiations start. The UK has special status because the UK founded it, the Queen is the head of the Commonwealth and the HQ is in London. I didn't say it was a trade group. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cryingdick Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 I voted positively because it means my husband doesn’t really want to go back home and has chosen the path of citizenship in the United States. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SheungWan Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 16 hours ago, goldenbrwn1 said: Pound will pop up to around $1.50 rather quickly if there is a deal . It’s only uncertainty and fear of a no deal that is keeping sterling in the $1.25/35 range . If there is a no deal I suspect $1.10 or even parity to begin with but then after the dust settles and all the doom and fear mongering is proven wrong and the UK actually doesn’t descend into civil war. Sterling will rise yet again. Starts off normal then goes cross-eyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SheungWan Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 10 minutes ago, nauseus said: The UK has special status because the UK founded it, the Queen is the head of the Commonwealth and the HQ is in London. I didn't say it was a trade group. The Commonwealth has a special place in the hearts of Grumpy Old Gits because of the Royal Yacht, Pathe News and Southern Rhodesia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nauseus Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, SheungWan said: The Commonwealth has a special place in the hearts of Grumpy Old Gits because of the Royal Yacht, Pathe News and Southern Rhodesia. All gone alas! ???? But you seem fixated on Southern Rhodesia; special memories? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grouse Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 1 hour ago, nauseus said: All gone alas! ???? But you seem fixated on Southern Rhodesia; special memories? Always made me laugh that Wilson sent the cruiser HMS Tiger to sort out Rhodesia! https://www.iwm.org.uk/collections/item/object/205164963 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnyo Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 Just get out,don't pay them any money,the other side don't realize it's going to affect them too, I know they had to be tough,to deter others from leaving the EU,but you feel Barnier,Juncker,and that tw@t Donald Tusk, are really reveling in making as difficult as possible for the UK. regards worgordieAre you British or illiterate?Sent from my iPhone using Thailand Forum - Thaivisa mobile app Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SheungWan Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 12:17 PM, Grouse said: Always made me laugh that Wilson sent the cruiser HMS Tiger to sort out Rhodesia! https://www.iwm.org.uk/collections/item/object/205164963 I don't think the Tiger was sent to sort the place out. Its significance at that time was more a meeting place for Wilson and Smith to attempt some negotiations. Highly unlikely any real threat of firing anything though still a show of force that the RN still had some clout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
worgeordie Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 59 minutes ago, Johnyo said: Are you British or illiterate? Sent from my iPhone using Thailand Forum - Thaivisa mobile app Both, and you a clever bugger? regards worgeordie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baboon Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 On 2/17/2019 at 9:05 AM, worgeordie said: Just get out,don't pay them any money,the other side don't realize it's going to affect them too, I know they had to be tough,to deter others from leaving the EU, but you feel Barnier,Juncker,and that tw@t Donald Tusk, are really reveling in making as difficult as possible for the UK. regards worgordie How, man. What's the matter with you? London has never given a sh!te about us up here. What makes you think they will after Brexit? We need to be sticking with the Scots and the EU, not that lot in London. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kannot Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 wheres the "i dont give a flying ferk" or "am sick of hearing about it and wish theyd just get on with a fast exit and forget about it" option? Or why not combine it with a lgtb question as thats all the rage and 99% of the population seem to be that way inclined these days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nobbie49 Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 All I have in the UK is debt, so doesn't affect me at all...Yes it does, it gets smaller as the Baht appreciatesSent from my iPhone using Thailand Forum - Thaivisa mobile app Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kwasaki Posted February 24, 2019 Share Posted February 24, 2019 On 2/16/2019 at 5:51 PM, Scott said: How will Brexit affect you or people close to you? feel free to leave a comment. Frankly I have no idea until it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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