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BANGKOK 24 May 2019 22:55
webfact

Results update: Pheu Thai wins most MP seats

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1 hour ago, mommysboy said:

In future elections PTP will only be able to govern if it achieves an absolute landslide.

and if PTP does, give it a few years for another military takeover

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2 hours ago, Psimbo said:

Anyone running a book on the next coup yet? 😮

If PTP, FFP and the Dems were to band together, that would be 276.  That is enough to end military rule to some small extent.  It would bruise some tender egos.  So yes, another coup based on Hi-So / military culture, or bad manners, is quite possible.      

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Posted (edited)

BBC reports the PTP may have won the popular vote, stay tuned

Edited by malibukid

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4 hours ago, CLW said:

At which bookmaker I can place my bet?

Sent from my SM-G900F using Tapatalk
 

How much do you want to put on at even money in the next 2 years

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2 hours ago, yellowboat said:

If PTP, FFP and the Dems were to band together, that would be 276.  That is enough to end military rule to some small extent.  It would bruise some tender egos.  So yes, another coup based on Hi-So / military culture, or bad manners, is quite possible.      

Maybe edit to 376 or your maths are wrong

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7 hours ago, robblok said:

 

Will be a huge bit of horse trading going on soon.

Will be a huge bit of horse Submarine and Tank trading going on soon.

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10 hours ago, robblok said:

Can anyone explain me why the PTP has no party list MP's  ? Do they still need to be counted ? 

 

Future forward is doing better and better last i saw was 70 seats now 81

I would bet most of them are young voters - they don't like coups nor past corrupt governments. I hope they keep sticking it at the big parties and will eventually come out on top. 

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12 hours ago, robblok said:

From the wiki website

 

in 2011 the popular vote for PTP was 15.744.190 and now 7.698.115 **

in 2011 the popular vote for Democrats was 11.433.762 now 3.247.658 **

 

So biggest loser seems to be the Democrats and then the PTP (still being the biggest party)

 

** there will be more votes as this is at 94%

 

PTP + FFW + BhumjaiThai will have 261 MP's a majority but not huge and unfortunately not enough for deciding who will be PM. Even if the Democrats do support them.

 

Looks like we have to look at Prayut mess things up for a few more years. But Prayut can't form a government as he wont have a majority of MP's 

 

Will be a huge bit of horse trading going on soon. 

 

Rob, PTP got 7,229,526 on this chart. They got more seats but were second in the popular vote.

 

 

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5 hours ago, BobBKK said:

so even though:

 

not allowed to talk

not allowed to meet

disband their partners who had a royal

take down the TV station

malign

lock-up

 

Thais still want PTP and their allies - substantially over 50% of pop vote and seats

 

The PTP "ally" party was dissolved. The other anti junta parties might not decide to allay with PTP either now.

 

PTP got less than 50% of the votes they received at the last election. Shows how unpopular they now are.

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8 hours ago, malibukid said:

BBC reports the PTP may have won the popular vote, stay tuned

 

Guess we have to wait and see. No doubt JH will put is own slant on the term "popular vote" 555!

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