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Pro-EU alliance heads for majority but eurosceptic vote to rise - EU election survey

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Pro-EU alliance heads for majority but eurosceptic vote to rise - EU election survey

By Francesco Guarascio

 

2019-04-18T100042Z_2_LYNXNPEF3H0HJ_RTROPTP_4_BRITAIN-EU-GERMANY.JPG

 

BRUSSELS (Reuters) - An alliance of pro-EU conservative, socialist and liberal parties would win an absolute majority in next month's European Parliament election, though eurosceptic groups will gain ground, a survey showed on Thursday.

 

With Britain expected to participate after its departure from the European Union was delayed, the proportion of the assembly's seats held by eurosceptics is seen rising to 14.3 percent from around 10 percent currently, according to the compilation of national polls commissioned by the European Parliament.

The figure was 13.0 percent in the previous survey in March, which did not include British voters.

 

Currently, a coalition of centre-right and centre-left groupings holds a majority.

 

Under the new survey, which includes national polls published up to April 15 and assumes the number of seats will remain at 751, the centre-right European People's Party (EPP) will remain the largest grouping with 180 seats, which represents 24.0 percent of the total, down from nearly 29 percent currently.

 

The centre-left Socialists and Democrats will be the second biggest with 149 seats, equal to 19.8 percent, and the liberals are set to stay third with about 10 percent and 76 seats.

 

Graphic showing seats projection - EU-PARLIAMENT-POLL.jpg

 

Factoring in Britain's participation in the May 23-26 vote, which might still be reversed if a Brexit deal is struck before then, the nationalist Europe of Nations and Freedom (ENF) would rise to 8.3 percent, or 62 seats, from less than 5 percent currently.

 

Europe of Freedom and Direct Democracy (EFDD), the other openly eurosceptic grouping which currently includes the United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP), would win 6 percent, or 45 seats.

 

Under the survey, that grouping would include arch UK eurosceptic Nigel Farage's new Brexit Party, which came top with 27 percent in a British YouGov survey published on Wednesday but not included in Thursday's EU report.

 

At the last EU election in 2014, UKIP, then led by Farage, was the leading UK party with 26.6 percent.

 

After Britain's formal exit from the EU, which the bloc's leaders last week extended to Oct. 31, its elected deputies would leave the European Parliament and groupings may need to be reshaped.

 

The European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR) grouping, which includes the PiS party of Polish eurosceptic leader Jaroslaw Kaczynski, would obtain 8.8 percent of the seats, up from 7.5 percent in the previous poll which did not include British Conservative voters.

 

Among national parties, German Chancellor Angela Merkel's centre-right Christian Democrats are expected to remain the largest, dropping to 30 seats from 33.

 

Italy's far-right League of Matteo Salvini, which is the leading party in the ENF, would be the second largest with 26 seats.

 

(Additional reporting by Giulia Paravicini and Philip Blenkinsop; Writing by Francesco Guarascio; editing by John Stonestreet)

 

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-- © Copyright Reuters 2019-04-19

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Posted (edited)

An email from Robin Tilbrook this morning made interesting reading and may yet turn everything on it's head. He hasn't updated his twitter or FB yet but this at least shows everyone where to look:

 

Don't shoot the messenger!

 

Edited by evadgib
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3 minutes ago, evadgib said:

An email from Robin Tilbrook this morning made interesting reading and may yet turn everything on it's head.

Why don’t you just tell us then what the email says? 

 

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1 hour ago, evadgib said:

An email from Robin Tilbrook this morning made interesting reading and may yet turn everything on it's head. He hasn't updated his twitter or FB yet but this at least shows everyone where to look:

 

Don't shoot the messenger!

 

I liked this comment on Tilbrook's page:

 

Anyone else noticed how quiet Gina Miller is these days.

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2 minutes ago, nauseus said:

I liked this comment on Tilbrook's page:

 

Anyone else noticed how quiet Gina Miller is these days.

Sky asked if she'd join the TIGs/Change.uk or whatever they're called this week a couple of days ago but other than the odd appearance on QT she has indeed been very quiet.

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3 hours ago, asiamaster said:

Mark my words. Euroskeptics will increase to 30%

Even in that case... it is 70 % … N O T 

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On ‎4‎/‎19‎/‎2019 at 1:51 PM, Kiwiken said:

Perhaps the people who see that although life is less Certain. Determining your own path is preferable to being dictated to by a Brussels Based conglomerate of Europeans nations who have never had the Freedom Once enjoyed and fought for by the British isles

The Dutch already threw by far miost of their nobility out of government from 1568 and fought a long war to get independency and own rule. The British are still partially ruled by them ( House of Lords) and the Eton guys.

The French followed in 1789. The germans in 1918

In Germany all men got voting rights at 3 March 1871, the first Federal election, and at the first elections of the Weimar Republic in 1919 to all women.

During WW1 many British were forced to give their lives for their country, but did not have any voting right at all. Even after the Representation of People Act 1918, see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Representation_of_the_People_Act_1918 , men and women still didn't have the same rights when it came to politics.

The law said that women over the age of 30 who occupied a house (or were married to someone who did) could now vote. This meant 8.5 million women now had their say over who was in Parliament - about 2 in every 5 women in the UK.

It also said that all men over the age of 21 could vote - regardless of whether or not they owned property - and men in the armed forces could vote from the age of 19. The number of men who could now vote went from 8 million to 21 million.

The Irish felt occupied till 1922, and some even till today by the British.

Time to learn some European history instead of ONLY looking to a western Island at the European shores, who were occupied by Romans, Saxons, Jutes, Angles, Danes, at at the end Normans. see  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Invasions_of_the_British_Isles#Germanic_invasions

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On 4/19/2019 at 10:30 PM, sawadee1947 said:

Thank you! I'm always happy to meet  TV members with brain. 

 

       Forever the optimist . God bless you . 

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