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A dry wet season - does catastrophe loom?


Bangkok Barry

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It might a little early and things might change dramatically, but we are well into the wet season and in my area there has been very little rain. A few days of dark clouds but mostly hot and sunny. I could probably count the number of days it has rained on two hands.

Most of the fields in my area have very little water, and if this continues there might be very little rice grown. That presents the possibility that rice farmers might have to buy their rice rather than sell it, and Thailand could become a rice importer rather than exporter.

 

Just imagine what that could do to the economy. Would the government attempt to subsidise rice, risking a huge run on their foreign reserves (yes please!). As I said, early days, but the government has been interestingly quiet so far. Perhaps they'll be launching their planes into the sky once again to magically produce rain where none exists.

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Plenty of rain in Petchabun. Had a few mega storms already. My re dug drainage channel now meanders through my new rock garden. A microscopic Colorado river running through an equally microscopic grand canyon. Very absorbing, especially if high or pissed.

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9 minutes ago, Denim said:

Plenty of rain in Petchabun. Had a few mega storms already. My re dug drainage channel now meanders through my new rock garden. A microscopic Colorado river running through an equally microscopic grand canyon. Very absorbing, especially if high or pissed.

Really,? I ain't seen much at all, guess I missed it.

Big province though so who knows.

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7 minutes ago, Denim said:

Plenty of rain in Petchabun. Had a few mega storms already. My re dug drainage channel now meanders through my new rock garden. A microscopic Colorado river running through an equally microscopic grand canyon. Very absorbing, especially if high or pissed.

Well, that Petchabun rain hasn't moved westwards towards Phichit or if it came from the west, passed right over us. There will be major problems later in the year if or when the large northern dams are not full.The Nan river outside my house is at a cool season low. Sirikit Dam is not releasing much water, just enough to keep the Chao Phraya happy.

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8 minutes ago, Youlike said:

Rice uses loads of water, they can grow some special produce instead and save water....grow another product which needs less water and problem is solved.

 

It isn't. Every Thai eats rice every day. If there is none or it is very expensive, what then? And it is, or maybe was until the strength of the Baht priced it out of the market, a major major Thai export.

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4 minutes ago, Bangkok Barry said:

 

It isn't. Every Thai eats rice every day. If there is none or it is very expensive, what then? And it is, or maybe was until the strength of the Baht priced it out of the market, a major major Thai export.

 

 

 

I thought rice was traded in US Dollars ?

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5 minutes ago, Bangkok Barry said:

 

I have no idea. But if Thailand can't sell rice and bring in US dollars then it hits the reserves.

 

 

I agree  - but it won't be because of Baht strength.

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14 minutes ago, Jip99 said:

 

 

 

I thought rice was traded in US Dollars ?

As with many things here, that would be outside Thailand's borders. The chief reason the rice pledging scheme wasn't viable.

World markets determine the price(s) for the world. Not Thailand.

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1 hour ago, CharlieH said:

Really,? I ain't seen much at all, guess I missed it.

Big province though so who knows.

 

Yep, this is in Wichien Buri , lower Petchabun. A few days ago there was a real deluge in the middle of the night. It was so loud it awoke me from my pleasant Lao Khao stupor , no mean feat. Wifey also awoke and commented that the dogs would be muddy in the morning after their early ablutions in the adjoining rice fields.

 

They were ..... but that is their raison d'etre , to make work for me and generally destroy the garden.

Fortunately, the boulders in my new rock garden are dog proof .... Perfect.

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12 minutes ago, Denim said:

 

Yep, this is in Wichien Buri , lower Petchabun. A few days ago there was a real deluge in the middle of the night. It was so loud it awoke me from my pleasant Lao Khao stupor , no mean feat. Wifey also awoke and commented that the dogs would be muddy in the morning after their early ablutions in the adjoining rice fields.

 

They were ..... but that is their raison d'etre , to make work for me and generally destroy the garden.

Fortunately, the boulders in my new rock garden are dog proof .... Perfect.

Wichien = Great chicken !! 😁

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8 hours ago, Bangkok Barry said:

maybe was until the strength of the Baht priced it out of the market, a major major Thai export.

Just wondering where you get this idea from? Even here some 10,000 miles from Thailand you can buy large sacks of Thai jasmine rice very cheap. Rice could double in price and it would still be cheap. Ditto pasta. No-one likes price increases but these staples are so cheap already that a major price increase won't change a consumer's behaviour. The percentage of the cost of a meal that rice makes up is negligible. It's not like prime beef or steak doubled in price which would, by comparison, markedly increase the cost of a meal.

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