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Bangkok Barry

A dry wet season - does catastrophe loom?

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2 hours ago, mstevens said:

Just wondering where you get this idea from? Even here some 10,000 miles from Thailand you can buy large sacks of Thai jasmine rice very cheap. Rice could double in price and it would still be cheap. Ditto pasta. No-one likes price increases but these staples are so cheap already that a major price increase won't change a consumer's behaviour. The percentage of the cost of a meal that rice makes up is negligible. It's not like prime beef or steak doubled in price which would, by comparison, markedly increase the cost of a meal.

 

You raise good points. My statement was based on something I read a few weeks ago that reported Thai rice was nearly double the price of rice from, I think, India and Vietnam. I don't know where those countries export to, but Thai rice might, might, be better quality and would still sell to certain countries at what to those 'better off' countries would still be a low price. Other, poorer, countries might not see it the same way and would go for the cheapest available. But I'm no authority on this, just the feeling I get.

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According to the Thai Met. Dept., here is the scoop on rainfall from Jan 1 to July 15.  The total rainfall is shown on the left and the variation from normal (the 30 year average) is shown on the right.

 

Untitled.jpg

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15 hours ago, Youlike said:

Rice uses loads of water, they can grow some special produce instead and save water....grow another product which needs less water and problem is solved.

"Problem solved"? they moved away from rice in many areas, the "government" subsidised the planting of sugar cane with no thought given on harvesting, apart from burning, so rather than solve a problem its created even more problems.

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There are wet years and dry years, it's just normal weather. Every year is different. If I recall 2015 was the driest of all years. The government predicted a dry June and July this year and they were right. They also predicted later in the season the rains will be heavy. It's amazing how accurate their long term forecasts tend to be. They also predicted 2019 could be an extremely hot year, maybe even the hottest on record.

 

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18 hours ago, Bangkok Barry said:

If there is none or it is very expensive, what then? 

revolution'

civil war

farang burned at the stake condos confiscated

 

Seriously what's with all the what if threads? I'm about to post one asking if my auntie grew balls would she be my uncle?

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20 hours ago, Denim said:

Plenty of rain in Petchabun. Had a few mega storms already. My re dug drainage channel now meanders through my new rock garden. A microscopic Colorado river running through an equally microscopic grand canyon. Very absorbing, especially if high or pissed.

Well up here it has not rained for over a week, and the rain we had back then was after another week of no rain. the dry land rice is looking very sad. It will all die if no rain soon.

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