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UK's worst-case no-deal Brexit plan warns of food shortages, public disorder

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UK's worst-case no-deal Brexit plan warns of food shortages, public disorder

By Paul Sandle

 

2019-09-11T211253Z_1_LYNXNPEF8A1V2_RTROPTP_4_BRITAIN-EU.JPG

A cyclist rides past an electronic billboard displaying a British government Brexit information awareness campaign advertisement in London, Britain, September 11, 2019. REUTERS/Toby Melville.

 

LONDON (Reuters) - The British government's plans for a no-deal Brexit warn of severe disruption to cross-Channel routes, affecting the supply of medicines and certain types of fresh foods, and say that protests and counter-protests will take place across the country, accompanied by a possible rise in public disorder.

 

The "Operation Yellowhammer" worst-case assumptions published on Wednesday were prepared on Aug. 2, the government said, nine days after Boris Johnson became prime minister, and form the basis of its no-deal planning.

 

The document, which looks at the worst that could happen if Britain leaves the European Union on Oct. 31 without a deal, said public and business readiness for such an outcome would likely be low, in part because of continued political confusion in the run-up to Brexit day.

 

It said lorries could have to wait up to two and a half days to cross the English Channel and British citizens could be subject to increased immigration checks at EU border posts.

 

"Certain types of fresh food supply will decrease," it said. "There is a risk that panic buying will cause or exacerbate food supply disruption."

 

It said the flow of traffic across the English channel could be reduced by as much as 60% on the first day after a no-deal Brexit. The worst disruption could last for up to three months.

 

Traffic queues could affect fuel deliveries, disrupting supplies in London and south-east England, and panic buying could cause shortages in other parts of the country, it said.

 

Cross-border financial services would be affected as would information-sharing between police and security services, according to the document.

Documents from Operation Yellowhammer were first published in the Sunday Times newspaper on Aug. 18.

 

Michael Gove, the minister in charge of coordinating "no-deal" preparations, said then that the document was old and did not reflect current levels of preparedness.

 

He said on Wednesday that assumptions contained in the five-page published document were currently being reviewed, but they were the most recent complete iteration of the plans.

 

The opposition Labour Party said the document confirmed the severe risks of a no-deal Brexit.

 

"It is completely irresponsible for the government to have tried to ignore these stark warnings and prevent the public from seeing the evidence," said Labour's Brexit spokesman Keir Starmer.

 

"Boris Johnson must now admit that he has been dishonest with the British people about the consequence of a No Deal Brexit."

 

In releasing the document, Gove was acceding to a request from lawmakers. But he refused to make public the advice of government advisers about Johnson's decision to prorogue, or suspend, parliament from Monday until Oct. 14.

 

Scotland's highest court of appeal ruled that decision was unlawful on Wednesday, prompting calls for lawmakers to return to work.

 

Gove said the publication of advice given to ministers would be an "inappropriate and disproportionate" use of parliamentary procedure, and the individuals would have no right to reply.

 

(Reporting by Paul Sandle; Editing by Sonya Hepinstall)

 

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-- © Copyright Reuters 2019-09-12

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30 minutes ago, webfact said:

The British government's plans for a no-deal Brexit warn of severe disruption to cross-Channel routes, affecting the supply of medicines and certain types of fresh foods, and say that protests and counter-protests will take place across the country, accompanied by a possible rise in public disorder.

But but but...

 

The Brexiteers say that everything will be rainbows and unicorns!

 

What a Cluster-<deleted>!

 

I have said it before and will say it again...

 

Never before have I seen a country so utterly determined to shoot itself in the crotch.

 

 

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9 minutes ago, Samui Bodoh said:

But but but...

 

The Brexiteers say that everything will be rainbows and unicorns!

 

What a Cluster-<deleted>!

 

I have said it before and will say it again...

 

Never before have I seen a country so utterly determined to shoot itself in the crotch.

 

 

Don,t worry about it,all we,'re doing is hoping for the best,but preparing for the worst,once we,'re out i,'ll give the European union 5 years max.adios amigo.

 

 

 

 

years max,adios amigo.

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5 minutes ago, Samui Bodoh said:

But but but...

 

The Brexiteers say that everything will be rainbows and unicorns!

 

What a Cluster-<deleted>!

 

I have said it before and will say it again...

 

Never before have I seen a country so utterly determined to shoot itself in the crotch.

 

 

Have to disagree. The people voted in a referendum that was free and fair. Lies were told by all sides in the run up to it.

The ballot paper didn't mention anything about trade deals etc. 

 

What if another referendum happened and leave won again, well then what?

 

You can't blame the voting public because of the mess that politicians and bureaucrats from Europe have created with an unwillingness to negotiate reasonably.

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4 minutes ago, z42 said:

Have to disagree. The people voted in a referendum that was free and fair. Lies were told by all sides in the run up to it.

The ballot paper didn't mention anything about trade deals etc. 

 

What if another referendum happened and leave won again, well then what?

 

You can't blame the voting public because of the mess that politicians and bureaucrats from Europe have created with an unwillingness to negotiate reasonably.

They need us more thanks need them,let's get out and let the uncontrolled econo.if migration become the eu,a problem,good luck .

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So even the government believes in "Project Fear"?

What will it take to convince rank and file Brexiteers.

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11 minutes ago, z42 said:

The people voted in a referendum that was free and fair.

Not true.

Furthermore it was advisory and irregularities already exposed would have a binding referendum invalidated.

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2 minutes ago, wilcopops said:

So even the government believes in "Project Fear"?

What will it take to convince rank and file Brexiteers.

Nothing. Not even God coming down from Heaven.

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5 minutes ago, baboon said:

Nothing. Not even God coming down from Heaven.

"God"? ...... "Heaven"?      There might be a clue there!

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14 minutes ago, kingdong said:

They need us more thanks need them,let's get out and let the uncontrolled econo.if migration become the eu,a problem,good luck .

QED

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11 minutes ago, wilcopops said:

So even the government believes in "Project Fear"?

What will it take to convince rank and file Brexiteers.

Possibly free lobotomy's for all Brexiteer voters on the NHS once Boris has sold it of to US health insurance companies 😂

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3 minutes ago, Alphonsothethird said:

Possibly free lobotomy's for all Brexiteer voters on the NHS once Boris has sold it of to US health insurance companies 😂

I see you've jumped the queue

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1 hour ago, webfact said:

Michael Gove, the minister in charge of coordinating "no-deal" preparations, said then that the document was old and did not reflect current levels of preparedness.

 

He said on Wednesday that assumptions contained in the five-page published document were currently being reviewed, but they were the most recent complete iteration of the plans.

It is only 5 weeks old, what has changed?

 

Yellowhammer the document in full apart from redacted section 15 

20190802_Latest_Yellowhammer_Planning_assumptions_CDL.pdf

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3 years ago people were promised things will be great after Brexit - and 52% voted for Brexit.

Then it became more and more clear:

- there is no easy breakup, it's mayor headache

- there is no easy trade deal (with the EU or anybody else)

- there will be massive short time disruptions

- there will be lots of long time problems, things get more expensive, companies move out, fewer jobs, etc.

One would think that the people who believed 3 years ago that things will get better should by now know that that is not the case. There is no upside of Brexit. Or if there is one nobody discovered it yet.

And still so many people support Brexit. Might it be related to their limited IQ?

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2 minutes ago, OneMoreFarang said:

3 years ago people were promised things will be great after Brexit - and 52% voted for Brexit.

Then it became more and more clear:

- there is no easy breakup, it's mayor headache

- there is no easy trade deal (with the EU or anybody else)

- there will be massive short time disruptions

- there will be lots of long time problems, things get more expensive, companies move out, fewer jobs, etc.

One would think that the people who believed 3 years ago that things will get better should by now know that that is not the case. There is no upside of Brexit. Or if there is one nobody discovered it yet.

And still so many people support Brexit. Might it be related to their limited IQ?

It was suggested after the referendum that perhaps IQ levels of those supporting Brexit were lower on average.  Of course that was poo pood as cynical and not having any supportive evidence. Irrespective of that there can now be no doubt given what has come to light since regarding predicted outcomes of Brexit that perhaps it was more that people wanting Brexit were just simply gullible and more easily convinced by politician's lies.

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