daveAustin Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 On 1/8/2020 at 5:21 PM, swissie said: Recent earthquakes and volcanic action were forecast by absolutely nobody. Outside of the 11 year (known) "solar activity cycle", nothing exceptional can be expected from the sun. A very stable atomic reactor, bubbling along within it's predictable laws of physics. In about 4 billon years it will become "unstable". That will be the time when we will have to start worrying about our sun. Stable she is, but earth will have serious issues way before she starts burping in 4B years. Venus-style, greenhouse runaway aside (yes climate skeptics!), it'll get progressively hotter, something like 10% within a billion years as fusion goes off on a tangent with lowering stores of hydrogen. Though of course if we're still around at that point, we'll be a Class IV civilisation and thus have the ability to shift the earth, nip over to the next solar system, or pinch off into another universe. It won't come to that, however, as we have short-sighted, narcissist twits like Trump, Putin et al, bent on power, money and the ultimate destruction of man (sorry Justin) peoplekind. But yes, coronal mass ejections are unlikely to have serious consequences aside from knocking out a few satellites. We have a pretty robust magnetic field thanks to our nicking of additional iron from Theia. Sorry, I'll get my coat... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mauGR1 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 4 hours ago, daveAustin said: But yes, coronal mass ejections are unlikely to have serious consequences I agree with your wishful thinking, it's better to be optimistic, on the other hand, we don't know much about the sun, do we ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VocalNeal Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 On 1/7/2020 at 2:17 PM, thequietman said: For whom??? Nerds, Geeks, sad and lonely people ??? ???? Who ??? ???? For people who use statistics like a drunk uses a lamppost. For support rather than illumination. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samuttodd Posted January 10, 2020 Author Share Posted January 10, 2020 BOOM! - Pooocatepetl volcano erupts in dramatic style CME Kicked off a few days ago and affecting Volcanoes and Earthquakes. An exciting time to be alive. Expect more for a few days.. https://news.sky.com/story/popocatepetl-volcano-erupts-in-dramatic-style-11904804 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samuttodd Posted January 11, 2020 Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 In my Pirate voice with liquor thick in my breath, eye patched and parrot startled: "Arrgh, you'll rue the day of the crazy cat lady, the Mountains are fixing to come alive and spew the fires of hell awash across the earth" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swissie Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 On 1/9/2020 at 11:49 PM, daveAustin said: Stable she is, but earth will have serious issues way before she starts burping in 4B years. Venus-style, greenhouse runaway aside (yes climate skeptics!), it'll get progressively hotter, something like 10% within a billion years as fusion goes off on a tangent with lowering stores of hydrogen. Though of course if we're still around at that point, we'll be a Class IV civilisation and thus have the ability to shift the earth, nip over to the next solar system, or pinch off into another universe. It won't come to that, however, as we have short-sighted, narcissist twits like Trump, Putin et al, bent on power, money and the ultimate destruction of man (sorry Justin) peoplekind. But yes, coronal mass ejections are unlikely to have serious consequences aside from knocking out a few satellites. We have a pretty robust magnetic field thanks to our nicking of additional iron from Theia. Sorry, I'll get my coat... Related to my post #54. Solar activity in form of "Protuberances" are normal. Occasionally so called major "flashes" occur. When 2 of them "meet" in mid-air (so to speak), they can indeed produce an array of negative effects on mother Earth. But only if those outbursts are directly pointing at us. (Looking at a barrel of a gun, directly pointing at us). All other "outbursts", not directly pointing at us, will have little or no effect on life on earth. Overall, not a very exciting thread, compared to threads like " Is the closure of your favorite Bar or Retaurant imminent"? (Pattaya Forum). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samuttodd Posted January 11, 2020 Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 (edited) 7 hours ago, swissie said: Related to my post #54. Solar activity in form of "Protuberances" are normal. Occasionally so called major "flashes" occur. When 2 of them "meet" in mid-air (so to speak), they can indeed produce an array of negative effects on mother Earth. But only if those outbursts are directly pointing at us. (Looking at a barrel of a gun, directly pointing at us). All other "outbursts", not directly pointing at us, will have little or no effect on life on earth. Overall, not a very exciting thread, compared to threads like " Is the closure of your favorite Bar or Retaurant imminent"? (Pattaya Forum). But this is coming right at us and the models show that. Edited January 11, 2020 by samuttodd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samuttodd Posted January 11, 2020 Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 And another !!!! BOOM M6.0 Earthquake - Puerto Rico region Preliminary Report Magnitude 6.0 Date-Time 11 Jan 2020 12:54:45 UTC 11 Jan 2020 08:54:45 near epicenter 11 Jan 2020 18:54:45 standard time in your timezone Location 17.869N 66.809W Depth 10 km Distances 13.8 km (8.6 mi) S of Indios, Puerto Rico 15.4 km (9.6 mi) SE of Gu�nica, Puerto Rico 18.8 km (11.7 mi) SSE of Yauco, Puerto Rico 25.0 km (15.5 mi) SW of Ponce, Puerto Rico 34.3 km (21.3 mi) SE of San Germ�n, Puerto Rico Location Uncertainty Horizontal: 3.5 km; Vertical 1.8 km Parameters Nph = 96; Dmin = 13.8 km; Rmss = 1.07 seconds; Gp = 63° Version = Event ID us 70006ydb ***This event supersedes event PT20011058. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GroveHillWanderer Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 8 hours ago, samuttodd said: But this is coming right at us and the models show that. No, it's not and no, they don't. You said this CME would hit Earth by January 11. It didn't. Even if we allow for your estimate being off by a day or two, there's still no sign of it. Quote Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2020 Jan 12 0030 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center [...] No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast. [...] No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. [...] No significant active region flare activity is forecast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samuttodd Posted January 12, 2020 Author Share Posted January 12, 2020 (edited) Man, you must be delirious, the lasco models show it, and the solar windstream behind it... What kind of signs do you expect near the equator? You arent going to get Auroras down this far. We may have some electrical gps/communications interruptions. Edited January 12, 2020 by samuttodd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Stocky Posted January 12, 2020 Popular Post Share Posted January 12, 2020 7 minutes ago, GroveHillWanderer said: No, it's not and no, they don't. You said this CME would hit Earth by January 11. It didn't. Even if we allow for your estimate being off by a day or two, there's still no sign of it. It's a garbage thread, there was no CME, and there is no link between solar activity and the Earth's seismic or volcanic activity. The original Youtube clip is of some Bedsit Barry and his Planet-X weird and wacky delusions. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samuttodd Posted January 12, 2020 Author Share Posted January 12, 2020 You guys are morons. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samuttodd Posted January 12, 2020 Author Share Posted January 12, 2020 Just for that, Niether of you can come to my birthday party 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Golden Triangle Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 On 1/8/2020 at 5:21 PM, swissie said: In about 4 billon years it will become "unstable". That will be the time when we will have to start worrying about our sun. I'll make a note of that in my diary, in the meantime does anyone want to buy any AA - AAA & C cell batteries, I also have a lot of spare water (big bottles) and stacks of tinned & dried food, I think the Mrs went beserk in Big C when I told her to stock up for a nuclear winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samuttodd Posted January 12, 2020 Author Share Posted January 12, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samuttodd Posted January 12, 2020 Author Share Posted January 12, 2020 (edited) Another volcano is kicking off video, a little closer [link to twitter.com (secure)] Edited January 12, 2020 by samuttodd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tifino Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 well, it is now the 12th, in this part of the world... the OP said the 11th... but considering all the time zones? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samuttodd Posted January 12, 2020 Author Share Posted January 12, 2020 The explosion in getting bigger by the minute. This thing is capable of any size of eruption, really any size. Last eruption in 1977. It often explodes by clusters, meaning that there are several eruptions in a row after a first eruption. So you could have another eruption next year too. It does a lot of small ones, but VEI4 are not rare. Its eruptions since recorded were all VEI 1 to 4. At that distance VEI5 can be hazardous, and it has done VEI 5~6 in the records, before the records we have. Judging by size of caldera it can explode with VEI7 or even 8. (Supervolcano) I wouldn't stand next to it filming it on Facebook while it is exploding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samuttodd Posted January 12, 2020 Author Share Posted January 12, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samuttodd Posted January 12, 2020 Author Share Posted January 12, 2020 Man, they are getting hammered with rocks falling from the sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samuttodd Posted January 12, 2020 Author Share Posted January 12, 2020 (edited) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W5MZWH8fCAo Of course, half a dozen quakes and a couple of volcanoes blowing proves my point. Ice cream and Amish People cause earthquakes.. The solar CME that kicked off a few days ago has nothing to do with techtonics or volcanoes. Edited January 12, 2020 by samuttodd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samuttodd Posted January 13, 2020 Author Share Posted January 13, 2020 (edited) and another ! In voice of Charles Bukowski, "to all my friends" https://watchers.news/2020/01/11/eruption-at-kuchinoerabujima-volcano-japan/ Edited January 13, 2020 by samuttodd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stocky Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 (edited) Just stop and think rationally. If you're saying all these seismic and volcanic events are connected to some solar event that didn't rate a mention on any news outlet (and probably didn't happen), then on that scale should a newsworthy major solar CME event actually occur, the planet would explode! As I've tried explaining, there is zero correlation between the historical solar and seismic data; solar activity has no discernible affect on tectonics. . Edited January 13, 2020 by Stocky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sipi Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 My washing is dry now. Putting another load on. Any chance of another Corneal Mass Ejection? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marko kok prong Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Could it be why i was depressed on saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samuttodd Posted January 14, 2020 Author Share Posted January 14, 2020 (edited) 15 hours ago, marko kok prong said: Could it be why i was depressed on saturday? Absolutely, EMF affects the nervous system, and solar activity is emf. On the chart below, there are 2 areas of primary exposure... When our kp INDEX IS VERY LOW (0-1) we are at risk of Cosmic Ray EMF (Not from our sun, but from other suns) When the KP index is high (7,8,9) then we are at risk to exposure from energetics from our sun. Keep in mind that the higher the KP index, the better our magnetopause shileding deflects these energies. The strength of the shielding is proportionate to the energetic releases of the sun. You can actually see the shielding in near real time at the Solarham website. http://websites.milonic.com/solarham.net/ https://ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/display/RT_t.cgi?page=mpause Edited January 14, 2020 by samuttodd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thaibeachlovers Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 On 1/12/2020 at 9:40 PM, tifino said: well, it is now the 12th, in this part of the world... the OP said the 11th... but considering all the time zones? 14th here and nothing yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samuttodd Posted January 14, 2020 Author Share Posted January 14, 2020 Have you been asleep. WE HAVE 4 VOLCANOES going off and have had 4 6plus earthquakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samuttodd Posted January 14, 2020 Author Share Posted January 14, 2020 We have Mt Taal One in Japan One in Mexico And one in Alaska Doom across the globe! Doom for everyone, I 've even got a little doom for you too Jimmy you miserable little bucktoothed punk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stocky Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 1 hour ago, samuttodd said: Have you been asleep. WE HAVE 4 VOLCANOES going off and have had 4 6plus earthquakes. There are actually about 26 volcanoes currently erupting and a further 10 considered active. Most are in remote places so they don't make the news. You're still away with the faeries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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