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The Chinese are coming! Raja ferry to Samui expects 30,000 for "Golden Week"

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26 minutes ago, stephenterry said:

If my stats hold up, at least a few Chinese out of the 30k would be carrying the deadly pneumonia-like illness, - and passing it onto the Samui population.  

 

Expect a further Chinese New Year outbreak, folks. And it won't be just a few victims, is my guess.

We are all doomed - again 😉

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45 minutes ago, stephenterry said:

If my stats hold up, at least a few Chinese out of the 30k would be carrying the deadly pneumonia-like illness, - and passing it onto the Samui population.  

 

Expect a further Chinese New Year outbreak, folks. And it won't be just a few victims, is my guess.

'At least a few' is a statistic?

 

Are you working for Bloomberg by any chance?

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22 hours ago, Traubert said:

'At least a few' is a statistic?

 

Are you working for Bloomberg by any chance?

There are several variables, e.g. place of origin in China, age, lifestyle, health, infection causes, etc. - depending on how deep it's taken - a bit like polls - that would influence the numbers and outcome. Without wishing to over-egg the rationale, I consider it's a reasonable correlation that a few infected Chinese would be carrying the disease on arrival to Samui. 

 

I used to work in Compliance in the UK finance industry for many decades, so stats are used, e.g. as trend guidelines for investment decisions, not as a 'complete' definitive answer. Otherwise I would be a billionaire and not living an existential life here in CM.

 

However, it's clear that continuing outbreaks in China could be regarded as an increasing illness trend and likely to surface in Thailand again when these 30k Chinese arrive for their New Year. If they choose to catch the Samui ferry the population in Surat Thani, and Nakhon Sri Thammarat mainland areas could be affected. 

 

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On 1/22/2020 at 12:41 PM, Vacuum said:

Why are they doing this in Thailand?

Payback time from the boat accident in Phuket.

  • Haha 1

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Did they all arrive and if so were they welcomed with open arms and bearing open wallets?

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Save our season at any cost as the 30,000 will turn into 30 million any day now as revised figures will be announced by the TAT sub committee🤔

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