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Virus numbers stable, recoveries continue

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Virus numbers stable, recoveries continue

By THE NATION

 

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Another victim of the COVID-19 coronavirus in Thailand has fully recovered and been discharged, the Department of Disease Control reported on Thursday (February 13).

 

“The number of cases remains the same at 33,” director-general Dr Suwanchai Wattanayingcharoenchai said.

 

“The number of confirmed infected patients currently under hospital care is 21, while 12 have fully recovered and been discharged, the latest being a male Chinese national.”

 

Suwanchai announced that the Public Health Ministry, Chiang Mai University and the National Research Council of Thailand had developed an online self-screening program people can use if they think they might be infected. It’s a questionnaire available in Thai, Chinese and English at http://sescimande.net/Self-Screening.

 

On completion of the questionnaire, the user is classified as either “no risk”, “medium risk” or “high risk”. A recommended course of action is provided for each category.

 

Dr Thanarak Phaliphat, the department’s deputy director-general, said it might expand mandatory screening procedures to include people arriving from Singapore and Hong Kong, where infections are on the rise at an accelerated rate.

 

“We are closely monitoring the situation in both locations and if the numbers continue to rise at this rate in the next few days, we will increase the screening level for people coming from there,” he said.

 

Thanarak said that, as an extra precaution, surveillance would be intensified for anyone in tourist-popular provinces like Bangkok, Chiang Mai, Chiang Rai, Phuket, Krabi and Chonburi who has contracted pneumonia without apparent reason.

 

Source: https://www.nationthailand.com/news/30382082

 

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-- © Copyright The Nation Thailand 2020-02-13
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Very good news indeed. lets hope they continue. 

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I am delighted to report that help is on the way, globally. 300 of the top public health officials, researchers and experts have concluded an emergency meeting in Geneva. The Chinese reps requested that the emphasis be on patient recovery and in keeping patients alive. They are focusing on drug treatments and vaccines.

Several western governments who support the Chinese  initiative will also be emphasizing transmission prevention (infection prevention) , quarantine protocols, protection of health care workers. etc.  The USA will lead the way with funding for domestic protection, especially vaccine initiative. 

The trickle own impact  will be that Thailand will eventually benefit once other countries have vaccines as the tourists will return if protected. Unfortunately for Thailand, it remains a country at risk as long as ineffective screening measures are in place. It will take some time though; 6-18 months at best.

 

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10 hours ago, BigBadGeordie said:

It is wise to never speak too soon.

Or, perhaps, you think the situation is "100% under control"?

Todays report. Deaths still rising significantly daily along with new sufferers

 

Coronavirus Cases:

65,247

Deaths:

1,491

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16 hours ago, DrTuner said:

Yesyes suresure. So, how big is the diagnosis backlog?

I am always agree with that point. They don't show it any more.

Now just assume that 2% of the cases of PUI where infected and recovered they would have infected many  incl. hospital staff and others during their time in and of the hospital, assuming they are not treated in quarantine. This infected people if severe symptoms are developed will go to hospital and searching for help, right or wrong?

So why is this number now decreasing?? I mean this number would be not easy to twist as doctors, nurses and patience would possibly post on social media if hospitals are beginning to fill up...?

https://ddc.moph.go.th/viralpneumonia/img/declaration/banner_declaration.jpg

There are now only 150 people PUI. The rest is gone treated. Whether they was positive or not nobody knows. 

The big question is how we should interpret those numbers knowing they derived from a not really trustworthy source.

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While I share the skepticism that Thai officials might not be telling the truth, I think it has to be said that it would be impossible - in Thailand - to keep a major outbreak secret. Nurses and doctors use Facebook and Line just like any other Thai, and unlike the Chinese government, their Thai counterpart cannot outright delete posts they don't like (only threaten action later). The Korat mall shooting is a perfect example for that.

 

I don't think that they have the situation under control, mind you. I just think that they've been quite lucky so far.

 

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