rooster59 Posted February 22, 2020 Share Posted February 22, 2020 CIMB Research further trims Thai growth forecast to 1.7 per cent By THE NATION Amonthep Chawla CIMB Research Office has again lowered its economic growth projection this year from 2.3 per cent to 1.7 per cent, mainly due to impact from the Covid-19 outbreak on tourism and manufacturing, said Amonthep Chawla, head of the research office. “Thailand’s economy will contract in the first half of 2020, and will recover rapidly in V shape in the second half” he said. “The government and private sector needed to find different economic stimulus to improve the situation, unless the economy this year would recover in U shape, or grow only 0.7 per cent”. The research office said that Thailand’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is at risk of contracting for over two consecutive quarters, since the Covid-19 situation would decrease tourist arrivals by over 50 per cent in the first half. Meanwhile, the export sector is likely to shrink continually, due to slowdown in the Chinese economy. In addition, Thai producers cannot export the usual amounts of products or materials to China, since its business sector has not fully opened. “This caused Thai entrepreneurs to reduce the production capacity or suspend their business temporarily” Amonthep added. The contraction in production, export, and tourism tends to decrease employment in these sectors. Meanwhile, drought has lowered agriculture revenue, dampening the purchasing power of households, and affected domestic consumption. Moreover, delay to the fiscal 2020 budget has prevented the government from spending in mega projects, and provide relief measures low-income earners. “The consumption of government and private sector will contract, at least in the first quarter,” he said. The office predicted that the government would cut policy rate again from 1.00 per cent to 0.75 per cent. “The reduction would occur within three months to help boost financial liquidity and lower the financial burden of entrepreneurs” he said. Source: https://www.nationthailand.com/news/30382582 -- © Copyright The Nation Thailand 2020-02-22 Follow Thaivisa on LINE for breaking Thailand news and visa info 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post TheAppletons Posted February 22, 2020 Popular Post Share Posted February 22, 2020 Someone is actually predicting a recession in Thailand this year. First time I've ever seen this in a public news article. He'll be arrested, of course. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post PatOngo Posted February 22, 2020 Popular Post Share Posted February 22, 2020 59 minutes ago, rooster59 said: “The government and private sector needed to find different economic stimulus to improve the situation, unless the economy this year would recover in U shape, or grow only 0.7 per cent”. They're on to it..."Chim Shop Choi!" 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farangwithaplan Posted February 22, 2020 Share Posted February 22, 2020 1 hour ago, TheAppletons said: Someone is actually predicting a recession in Thailand this year. First time I've ever seen this in a public news article. He'll be arrested, of course. It feels like there is already a recession in some aspects of Thailand commerce. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LazySlipper Posted February 22, 2020 Share Posted February 22, 2020 Burn baby burn... cdn dollar already up... still a way to go though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Creasy Posted February 22, 2020 Popular Post Share Posted February 22, 2020 All Coronas fault. Nothing to do with the drug smugglers, the horologist and the treasonous and incompetent crooks that are running the country. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isaan sailor Posted February 22, 2020 Share Posted February 22, 2020 Wonder if they have Vegas odds for Thai economy. I’d take a bet against it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
petermik Posted February 22, 2020 Share Posted February 22, 2020 That,s it then...the baht will strengthen 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madmen Posted February 22, 2020 Share Posted February 22, 2020 2 hours ago, LazySlipper said: Burn baby burn... cdn dollar already up... still a way to go though A way to go? Try about 5 more years Corona virus takes a lot of the blame and baht will bounce when it gets contained Oz dollar looking very grim indeed https://mobile.abc.net.au/news/2020-02-21/australian-dollar-slumps-to-11-year-low-on-jobs-data/11987094?pfmredir=sm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ParkerN Posted February 22, 2020 Share Posted February 22, 2020 V-curve my backside... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
URMySunshine Posted February 22, 2020 Share Posted February 22, 2020 Surprise that Goldman Sachs don't have a fund or derivative that shorts a SET tracker. Now would be a good time to buy. https://www.thebalance.com/how-to-bet-on-a-country-s-economic-decline-1978846 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LazySlipper Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 21 hours ago, madmen said: A way to go? Try about 5 more years Corona virus takes a lot of the blame and baht will bounce when it gets contained Oz dollar looking very grim indeed https://mobile.abc.net.au/news/2020-02-21/australian-dollar-slumps-to-11-year-low-on-jobs-data/11987094?pfmredir=sm Kiwis been doing the worst and 5 years sounds about right. Thats what it took to hit rock bottom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
from the home of CC Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 On 2/22/2020 at 1:24 PM, LazySlipper said: Burn baby burn... cdn dollar already up... still a way to go though Canada doing a great job of sabotaging it's own currency value without any help from anyone except Trudeau.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
from the home of CC Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 21 hours ago, madmen said: A way to go? Try about 5 more years Corona virus takes a lot of the blame and baht will bounce when it gets contained Oz dollar looking very grim indeed https://mobile.abc.net.au/news/2020-02-21/australian-dollar-slumps-to-11-year-low-on-jobs-data/11987094?pfmredir=sm the whole world is going to go into the toilet over this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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