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Coronavirus, What are the Odds of getting this Virus, Really?

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30 minutes ago, EVENKEEL said:

You're the one wearing a mask, saying don't worry.

Heard on LBC this morning from an expert who verified that wearing a mask, even an N95 one, WILL NOT stop the virus from entering your body if it is present unless it is fitted professionally. It WILL stop any droplets of virus laden snot from an infected person being thrown into the air.

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What we have to go on is expert opinions (and President Trump) and this is what they are saying. With its current virulence and we are almost certainly in a pandemic situation then estimates from them are that 40 - 70 % of the population are likely to get it.

 

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-expert-opinions/

 

This is really a global problem that’s not going to go away in a week or two.

What makes this one perhaps harder to control than SARS is that it may be possible to transmit before you are sick.

I think we should be prepared for the equivalent of a very, very bad flu season, or maybe the worst-ever flu season in modern times.
Prof. Marc Lipsitch
Prof. of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health
Head, Harvard Ctr. Communicable Disease Dynamics
Feb. 11, 2020

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1 hour ago, Puchaiyank said:

One...and done!

It is appointed unto man once to die......thankfully we don't

know when that is.....so sadly people go around in fear of living.👍😎

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1 hour ago, spiekerjozef said:

70%

I was not good in math but I am going to guess you pulled 70% out of thin air. I don't think based on the numbers that it would be 70% even if you live in China. At least not today. 😷😎👍

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1 minute ago, CGW said:

The odds on getting the virus appears to be highly dependant on what "group" you are in, how well your immune system is working and exposure, given that, I consider myself to be at a very low risk of contagion!

 

2020-02-27 17_24_17-Coronavirus Age, Sex, Demographics (COVID-19) - Worldometer - Opera.png

That are fatality rates of infected people, something completely different of what the OP is asking, which the possibility rate to get infected

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