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Thailand reports one new coronavirus case, total reaches 41 - health official

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Thailand reports one new coronavirus case, total reaches 41 - health official

 

2020-02-28T044413Z_1_LYNXNPEG1R0A4_RTROPTP_4_CHINA-HEALTH-THAILAND.JPG

FILE PHOTO: Commuters wearing protective masks ride the skytrain in Bangkok, Thailand, February 26, 2020. REUTERS/Jorge Silva

 

BANGKOK (Reuters) - Thailand recorded one new case of coronavirus, bringing the total in the country to 41 since January, a senior health official said on Friday.

 

The new case is a 25-year-old Thai man, a tour guide who recently returned from South Korea and was diagnosed with the virus on Feb. 24, Sukhum Kanchanaphimai, the health ministry's permanent secretary said in a news conference.

 

So far, 28 coronavirus patients have recovered and returned home and 13 are still being treated in hospitals.

 

More than 2,700 people in China have died from the virus but Thailand has not recorded any fatality so far.

 

(Reporting by Panarat Thepgumpanat and Panu Wongcha-um; Editing by Himani Sarkar)

 

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-- © Copyright Reuters 2020-02-28

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It is very difficult to believe unlike Japan Iran Italy where infection hotspots have been declared that with the 200k++ Chinese Nationals plus the Cambodian Vietnamese Malaysian and Burmese workforce in Thailand miraculously hotspots have not occurred bearing in mind that the Chinese live and work all over the world

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4 hours ago, chilly07 said:

It is very difficult to believe unlike Japan Iran Italy where infection hotspots have been declared that with the 200k++ Chinese Nationals plus the Cambodian Vietnamese Malaysian and Burmese workforce in Thailand miraculously hotspots have not occurred bearing in mind that the Chinese live and work all over the world

I did not know that all Chinese people are infected.... so sad

 

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"The new case is a 25-year-old Thai man, a tour guide who recently returned from South Korea and was diagnosed with the virus on Feb. 24"

 

Diagnosed with the virus on Feb 24th and it increases the count on Feb 28th? That's a bad joke.

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14 minutes ago, Caldera said:

"The new case is a 25-year-old Thai man, a tour guide who recently returned from South Korea and was diagnosed with the virus on Feb. 24"

 

Diagnosed with the virus on Feb 24th and it increases the count on Feb 28th? That's a bad joke.

 

They were trying to find a way to diagnose the guy with nail fungus.... But couldn't quite make that one work... So in the end, they bailed out and voted for CV.... 

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Seriously, there have been quite a lot of reports lately about problems with the original RT-PCR testing method that health officials around the world have been using to primarily diagnose CV. As in, a lot of cases that test as negative end up actually being positive. And along those same lines, sentiment that chest CT scans may be a better diagnostic tool. Plus issues about overly restrictive guidelines being used about just who SHOULD be tested once ill.

 

It wouldn't surprise me a bit if any number of the negative test results Thailand is getting for its suspect cases end up being actual CV cases.

 

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/12/health/coronavirus-test-kits-cdc.html

 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/02/27/coronavirus-testing-california/

 

Quote

The problems underscored by the California case include the limited availability of tests — which were shipped out to labs nationwide with a problematic component that is only now being corrected — and the federal testing criteria, which had become outdated as the outbreak evolved from being centered in China to spreading in more than three dozen countries. On Thursday, the CDC also expanded federal guidelines to include testing for people who have unexplained severe respiratory symptoms and people with symptoms who have recently traveled to Iran, Italy, Japan or South Korea.

 

https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2020/02/200226151951.htm

 

Quote

 

In a study of more than 1,000 patients published in the journal Radiology, chest CT outperformed lab testing in the diagnosis of 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19). The researchers concluded that CT should be used as the primary screening tool for COVID-19.
 

In the absence of specific therapeutic drugs or vaccines for COVID-19, it is essential to detect the disease at an early stage and immediately isolate an infected patient from the healthy population.
 

According to the latest guidelines published by the Chinese government, the diagnosis of COVID-19 must be confirmed by reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) or gene sequencing for respiratory or blood specimens, as the key indicator for hospitalization. However, with limitations of sample collection and transportation, as well as kit performance, the total positive rate of RT-PCR for throat swab samples has been reported to be about 30% to 60% at initial presentation.
 

In the current public health emergency, the low sensitivity of RT-PCR implies that a large number of COVID-19 patients won't be identified quickly and may not receive appropriate treatment. In addition, given the highly contagious nature of the virus, they carry a risk of infecting a larger population.

 
Edited by TallGuyJohninBKK
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3 hours ago, BEngBKK said:

I did not know that all Chinese people are infected.... so sad

 

According to Chinas current population numbers, and confirmed cases, around 1 in 1,625 Chinese people have been infected. Of course the real number will be more towards 1 in 500 or even towards 300, considering that most people do not even go to hospital or seek medical help with the virus, but lets run with 1,625. 
I've seen that from January 1st to February the 20th, 226,000 Chinese tourists were accounted for. With the obviously low figure of 1 in 1,625 people infected, we arrive at 139 infected people from China alone in that small window. That is the lowest possible number using logic and math. Where have those people been, who have they been in contact with, and why are the Thai cases way below that, when considering all nationals? 

Edited by Mung
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