Jump to content
BANGKOK
rooster59

UK coronavirus death toll under 20,000 would be 'good result' - health chief says

Recommended Posts

UK coronavirus death toll under 20,000 would be 'good result' - health chief says

By Paul Sandle and Guy Faulconbridge

 

2020-03-28T132346Z_1_LYNXMPEG2R0EJ_RTROPTP_4_HEALTH-CORONAVIRUS-BRITAIN.JPG

Medical staff at an NHS drive through coronavirus disease (COVID-19) testing facility in the car park of Chessington World of Adventures as the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) continues, Chessington, Britain, March 28, 2020. REUTERS/Peter Nicholls

 

LONDON (Reuters) - The United Kingdom will do well if it manages to keep the coronavirus death toll below 20,000, a senior health official said on Saturday after the deadliest day so far of the outbreak saw the number of fatalities rise to more than 1,000.

 

Stephen Powis, the medical director of National Health Service England, warned the public against complacency and said everyone had to play their part in hindering the spread of the virus.

 

The number of confirmed cases stood at 17,089 on Saturday morning. The death toll rose by 260 in a day to 1,019, the seventh highest toll in the world behind Italy, Spain, China, Iran, France and the United States.

 

When asked if Britain was on the same trajectory as Italy, where the death toll has passed 9,000, Powis said that if the public adhered to the nationwide lockdown the total toll could be kept below 20,000.

 

"If it is less than 20,000... that would be a good result though every death is a tragedy, but we should not be complacent about that," he said at a news conference in Downing Street.

 

Prime Minister Boris Johnson became the first leader of a major power to announce a positive test result for coronavirus on Friday. He is self-isolating in Downing Street but still leading the UK response to the crisis.

 

Britain is bracing for the epidemic to peak in the coming weeks, and is building field hospitals in London, Birmingham, Manchester and Cardiff to bolster its state-run National Health Service (NHS).

 

The government, which had been criticised by some doctors and nurses for not providing them with enough protective gear and testing kits, said on Friday it was introducing a much bigger testing regime, with checks for health workers in England.

 

Frontline medical staff in Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland are already being tested.

 

CORONAVIRUS IN GOVERNMENT

 

As the British government urged the public to stay indoors, the virus struck at Downing Street itself. Besides Johnson, health minister Matt Hancock has also tested positive and chief medical adviser Chris Whitty is self-isolating with symptoms.

 

The minister for Scotland, Alister Jack, said on Saturday he had developed a temperature and a cough in the past 24 hours and was now working from home in isolation. He has not been tested for coronavirus.

 

Jack spoke in the House of Commons on Wednesday, immediately before Johnson appeared at the weekly Prime Minister's Questions session, during which Jack was seated on the government bench behind Johnson.

 

Efforts were under way to keep building up the NHS's ability to cope.

 

Hospitals have been rushing to increase intensive care capacity, including by turning operating theatres and recovery areas into beds for critically ill patients.

 

"At the moment, I am confident the capacity is there," Powis said. "We have not reached capacity."

 

A drive-through coronavirus testing facility for health workers has begun operating in the car park of the Chessington World of Adventures theme park near London.

 

Health workers, who remain in their cars, are tested by nurses who carry out swabs in the nose and mouth through the windows.

 

(Reporting by Estelle Shirbon, Paul Sandle and Guy Faulconbridge; Editing by Giles Elgood and Frances Kerry)

 

reuters_logo.jpg

-- © Copyright Reuters 2020-03-29

 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

At the present rate we will surpass 20,000 by April 10...

 

Hopefully the current measures will reduce the rate of climb dramatically, but it probably will be mid week before we see the numbers of new cases drop and next weekend when see the decline of deaths per day, but the problem is how long can we keep the shut down going before more people start to break the rules.

  • Sad 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, Basil B said:

At the present rate we will surpass 20,000 by April 10...

 

Hopefully the current measures will reduce the rate of climb dramatically, but it probably will be mid week before we see the numbers of new cases drop and next weekend when see the decline of deaths per day, but the problem is how long can we keep the shut down going before more people start to break the rules.

the problem is how long can we keep the shut down going before more people start to break the rules........

 

Depends how much you love life 😕

  • Like 1
  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
11 minutes ago, Basil B said:

At the present rate we will surpass 20,000 by April 10...

 

Hopefully the current measures will reduce the rate of climb dramatically, but it probably will be mid week before we see the numbers of new cases drop and next weekend when see the decline of deaths per day, but the problem is how long can we keep the shut down going before more people start to break the rules.

You expect to see 20,000 dead by April 10th?

  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, timendres said:

You expect to see 20,000 dead by April 10th?

Yes, at the current rate of increase per day running at over 25% increase on the previous day. 

Yesterday was 34% increase on Friday, my modeling is based on 25%.

Date   Deaths UK   Per Day
Wed 25 Mar 20   475 Actual  
Thu 26 Mar 20   578 Actual 103
Fri 27 Mar 20   759 Actual 181
Sat 28 Mar 20   1,019 Actual 260
Sun 29 Mar 20   1,274 Projected 255
Mon 30 Mar 20   1,592 Projected 318
Tue 31 Mar 20   1,990 Projected 398
Wed 1 Apr 20   2,488 Projected 498
Thu 2 Apr 20   3,110 Projected 622
Fri 3 Apr 20   3,887 Projected 777
Sat 4 Apr 20   4,859 Projected 972
Sun 5 Apr 20   6,074 Projected 1,215
Mon 6 Apr 20   7,592 Projected 1,518
Tue 7 Apr 20   9,490 Projected 1,898
Wed 8 Apr 20   11,863 Projected 2,373
Thu 9 Apr 20   14,828 Projected 2,966
Fri 10 Apr 20   18,536 Projected 3,707
Sat 11 Apr 20   23,169 Projected 4,634

 

Actually I do not expect to see 20,000 dead in the UK by the 10th April but all that is going to happen is it slows down due to the shutdown but it will just keep going until most of us are immune to it.

 

Edit in:

just to note the figures I get are for the day before and now seems they only count those who were "Hospitalised" so those who die at home or on on the way to hospital are not counted.

EUM2xuoWAAcSeHC.jpg.1ca38a8a74917fe58e1e30bd90be4336.jpg

twitter.com/DHSCgovuk/status/1243901924786790400

 

Edited by Basil B
  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

dont use banknotes and coins is the latest plea ..use contact less only

  • Thanks 1
  • Sad 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

the infected now were infected before the distance rule came into effect ..so it may have happened in a queue for food stocks

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
13 minutes ago, 3NUMBAS said:

dont use banknotes and coins is the latest plea ..use contact less only

a lot of old people don't have credit or debit cards how are they going to live?

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, welshguy said:

Personally I love life!

 

However, in the U.K. (at least where I am) there are still a fair few people "out and about"...madness...sheer madness.....

 

Something needs to be done...but nothing in place to "stop them"...really..

 

Ive "heard" cses of cars/people being stopped and asking them where they are going...not personally seen anything myself though.

 

Im still in work...i drive a train....its meant to be for "key workers and essential travel only"......ive seen some get on trains, with flip flops, bikes, kids in prams etc.......crazy! 

 

As for "enforcing" "essential journeys"..thats a no go...the U.K. is too awash with bleating people gong on about "huma rights this that the other blah blah blah!"!!

 

Rant over!

At the end it's like a selection. The rich will survive because of better education or advisers. No need to work. Just order what you need. Enjoying the time in a beautiful garden and house. 😶

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, Basil B said:

Actually I do not expect to see 20,000 dead in the UK by the 10th April but all that is going to happen is it slows down due to the shutdown but it will just keep going until most of us are immune to it.

Ah! I thought you were talking about here in Thailand. That is why I was surprised.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, White Christmas13 said:

a lot of old people don't have credit or debit cards how are they going to live?

In the real world (UK), very few do not have any credit  or debit cards, they need them to draw their pensions.l

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 minutes ago, timendres said:

Ah! I thought you were talking about here in Thailand. That is why I was surprised.

The headline: "UK coronavirus death toll under 20,000 would be 'good result' - health chief says"

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 hours ago, rooster59 said:

Stephen Powis, the medical director of National Health Service England, warned the public against complacency and said everyone had to play their part in hindering the spread of the virus.

Stephen should tell Boris the super spreader. Boris went to a coronavirus hospital and shake hands with....

”EVERYONE”!

 

Very proud himself!

 

 

 

 

 

  • Sad 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...