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Covid-19: Worst case scenario for April is 25,000 cases but Thais told: YOU can make a difference

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Covid-19: Worst case scenario for April is 25,000 cases but Thais told: YOU can make a difference

 

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Picture: Sanook

 

A deputy in charge of battling the Covid-19 crisis in Thailand has told the Thai people that their behavior can make a big difference to how many people get infected. 

 

He has also debunked claims online that Italians have suffered so badly because they wear shoes in the house. 

 

Dr Thanarak Phaliphat gave three scenarios for the spread of the virus in April:

 

Scenario 1: If Thais didn't follow rules and practice social distancing there would be 24-25,000 cases. 

 

Scenario 2: Social distancing practised and 50% of the rules would mean 17,000 cases. 

 

Scenario 3: Social distancing and 80% compliance would lead to 7,000 cases. 

 

Dr Thanarak said that these figures were not meant to worry Thais, but show by acting responsibly they could make a difference. 

 

He also dismissed ideas circulating in Thailand that Italians were suffering badly because the infection was spread on shoes they wore in their houses.

 

He said this was nonsense. He stressed that the disease is spread through droplets that come into contact and enter the body through the eyes, nose and mouth.

 

Source: Sanook

 

 

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-- © Copyright Thai Visa News 2020-04-01
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40 minutes ago, smedly said:

 

WHO and experts around the world are very clear about this - MASSIVE TESTING IS PARAMOUNT to controlling this virus 

 

 

WHO also said travel restrictions weren't necessary back in February, so I wouldn't believe all the "experts"... In this case I'm in complete agreement with you though.. 

If you only test 500/day then worse case scenario at 100% infection would only be 6000 cases !!! 

 

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21 minutes ago, cornishcarlos said:

 

WHO also said travel restrictions weren't necessary back in February, so I wouldn't believe all the "experts"... In this case I'm in complete agreement with you though.. 

If you only test 500/day then worse case scenario at 100% infection would only be 6000 cases !!! 

 

Germany 500,000/day.

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1 hour ago, smedly said:

how will they detect the infections if they are not testing in any significant numbers  

To be fair he didn't mention that they would be "detected" but rather that there would "be" that many infections,sounds like he is treading carefully.

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54 minutes ago, scubascuba3 said:

How many ventilators have they ordered? I'm guessing zero

Enough to treat the infected elite I would guess.

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2 hours ago, cornishcarlos said:

If you only test 500/day then worse case scenario at 100% infection would only be 6000 cases !!!

No comprendez. Sorry, don't understand this statement.

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3 minutes ago, stouricks said:

No comprendez. Sorry, don't understand this statement.

 

Why not ??

 

If you only test 500 people a day, then by the end of April worse case scenario can only be 6000 cases.. If they all test positive !!

 

Comprendez ??

 

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1 minute ago, cornishcarlos said:

 

Why not ??

 

If you only test 500 people a day, then by the end of April worse case scenario can only be 6000 cases.. If they all test positive !!

 

Comprendez ??

 

Sorry, did not realise you mean testing 500 every day until end of April. What a Fool I am.   

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Last week the prediction was 3000 cases by the end of April

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Posted (edited)

 

25,000, in a "best case" scenario, is more likely the number of deaths that will result.

 

Approximately 1 in every 2700 people.

 

I give that guestimated figure because UK is "hoping" for best case 20,000 or less deaths.

 

 

Edited by Enoon

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