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Are you really ready for two years of this?


Jingthing

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16 minutes ago, chessman said:

most economies grew then because they were producing things for the war. American cities that had more steps in place to force distancing were able to recover more quickly

Far as I know the Spanish flue was worst AFTER the war. Spread by troops returning home.

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1 minute ago, thaibeachlovers said:

Have you ever known a politician that wasn't? Far as I know most of ours have never worked a day in a real job- no idea what it's like to be poor, hungry or homeless.

They should have had a plan since Ebola was first known about, but they obviously didn't.

True. And they let cruise ships in. Disease ridden cesspits should have been banned on March 1.

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2 years is unworkable, no way borders are closed for 2 years. At the very least you would have strict 14 day quarantine on arrival as the new normal, to allow movement. 

 

That said, if there's countless trillions of dollars at stake, who knows what can be achieved medically. Not specifically in terms of vaccines either, I mean production of effective personal quarantine devices (like cost effective powered respirators that provide practically 100% protection). So you could achieve near 100% quarantine effectiveness, without bringing everything to a standstill.

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12 minutes ago, VBF said:

You do NOT have a choice to avoid Covid.

You could give at least the elderly and sick a choice to live a more normal life, or strictly self isolate, in which case they’d be given every assistance, free delivery of food and essentials.

I’m thinking about the 85 year old who comes to my social tennis each Sunday (pre lockdown in Australia). Ask him - do you want to remain in total self isolation, or continue to play the tennis you love so much, and accept a 20% chance of death should you catch the virus? I’m pretty sure that I know what his answer would be.

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24 minutes ago, Max69xl said:

a vaccine will probably be available before that maybe early next year if we can trust the info. 

I wouldn't bet on that.

 

The corona strain has been know for long and no one has been able to produce a vaccine until now.

 

Why would that suddenly change for this specific virus?

 

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Just now, Brunolem said:

I wouldn't bet on that.

 

The corona strain has been know for long and no one has been able to produce a vaccine until now.

 

Why would that suddenly change for this specific virus?

 

A breakthrough perhaps? Re-analysis of research, drugs which ultimately connect?

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22 minutes ago, VBF said:

 

You do NOT have a choice to avoid Covid.

And you do NOT have a choice to avoid cancer.

 

And faced with a choice, I would readily opt for the virus and leave the cancer to others...

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1 minute ago, CygnusX1 said:

You could give at least the elderly and sick a choice to live a more normal life, or strictly self isolate, in which case they’d be given every assistance, free delivery of food and essentials.

I’m thinking about the 85 year old who comes to my social tennis each Sunday (pre lockdown in Australia). Ask him - do you want to remain in total self isolation, or continue to play the tennis you love so much, and accept a 20% chance of death should you catch the virus? I’m pretty sure that I know what his answer would be.

I get that but the trouble is that the 85 year old may or may not have the virus, and if he does he may have no symptoms. He is then a carrier and in a tennis club he would soon become a super carrier.

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Just now, Brunolem said:

And you do NOT have a choice to avoid cancer.

 

And faced with a choice, I would readily opt for the virus and leave the cancer to others...

Something of a red herring don't you think? We were comparing viruses with fast food not other ailments. Plus Cancer is usually not contagious so it's you who suffers - you don't run the risk of infecting many others.

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15 minutes ago, jacob29 said:

 

That said, if there's countless trillions of dollars at stake, who knows what can be achieved medically. 

Problem is that the trillions are on their way to Wall Street...

 

And anyway money can't buy discoveries, that would be too easy...

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11 minutes ago, jacob29 said:

2 years is unworkable, no way borders are closed for 2 years. At the very least you would have strict 14 day quarantine on arrival as the new normal, to allow movement. 

 

That said, if there's countless trillions of dollars at stake, who knows what can be achieved medically. Not specifically in terms of vaccines either, I mean production of effective personal quarantine devices (like cost effective powered respirators that provide practically 100% protection). So you could achieve near 100% quarantine effectiveness, without bringing everything to a standstill.

Plus IMHO a sizable % of the greedy and ruthless billionaires and multi-millionaires of the world will soon start to demand that business resume now and at full speed so they can fill another aircraft hanger with money and share value etc. And these folks do have power, and they would have no hesitation to quickly remove CEO's who don't achieve the big bucks and remove politicians who don't push for active business now. In sure the Pharma companies are under massive pressure from shareholders to be the first to create a vaccine now, aiming at massive income, rather than any morals reasons.

 

 

 

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8 minutes ago, VBF said:

I get that but the trouble is that the 85 year old may or may not have the virus, and if he does he may have no symptoms. He is then a carrier and in a tennis club he would soon become a super carrier.

Well, that would apply to all of the players, not just the 85 year old.

 

I suppose I’m envisaging a reduced lockdown, where sporting events with spectators, music festivals and so on would still be banned, but gatherings of small groups allowed.

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2 minutes ago, CygnusX1 said:

Well, that would apply to all of the players, not just the 85 year old.

 

I suppose I’m envisaging a reduced lockdown, where sporting events with spectators, music festivals and so on would still be banned, but gatherings of small groups allowed.

But then the small groups might have to consist of people who knew and trusted their own and other members' status. OR.......none of them would then be able to mix with anyone outside the group for 14 days.

Sadly, there's no simple solution until testing becomes as easy as say, checking your blood pressure. At that point, IMO, the game changes in our favour.

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11 minutes ago, CygnusX1 said:

You could give at least the elderly and sick a choice to live a more normal life, or strictly self isolate, in which case they’d be given every assistance, free delivery of food and essentials.

I’m thinking about the 85 year old who comes to my social tennis each Sunday (pre lockdown in Australia). Ask him - do you want to remain in total self isolation, or continue to play the tennis you love so much, and accept a 20% chance of death should you catch the virus? I’m pretty sure that I know what his answer would be.

It works for one or two - but what happens when everyone makes the same choice to take the 20% risk? this virus then spreads further without control and far more ‘could’ die (the risks become greater, no?).

The response has to be an ‘all or nothing’ so the health care systems are not overwhelmed. 

 

The risk is not just dieing, but becoming critically ill and taking up valuable resources away from those who are working in essential industries and placing themselves at risk.

 

The doctors, the Police, the bin men, the supermarket delivery staff etc etc those who are essential to keeping the world a place we can continue to live in in comfort in our own homes - why should their place in a hospital bed (if they were to ever need it) be taken by someone selfish enough to unnecessarily risk themselves?

 

All we’re being asked to do is stay at home and watch more telly !!!!! Yes there is a financial burden the cost some will not be able to meet and thus suffer, but others are dying.

 

 

 

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3 hours ago, drbeach said:

67 sqm is a coffin as far as I'm concerned. Far too small to be comfortable.

When I bought my 48 sq m (including balcony) condo in Thailand I was delighted to have so much more space than the miserable flat that’s all I can afford in Australia, and in which I’m now under house arrest.

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14 minutes ago, VBF said:

I get that but the trouble is that the 85 year old may or may not have the virus, and if he does he may have no symptoms. He is then a carrier and in a tennis club he would soon become a super carrier.

and if the other players do not have underlying health problems the chances they would die are extremely small, based on present knowledge. If they have good immune systems most would probably not get worse than ordinary flue symptoms.

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2 minutes ago, CygnusX1 said:

When I bought my 48 sq m (including balcony) condo in Thailand I was delighted to have so much more space than the miserable flat that’s all I can afford in Australia, and in which I’m now under house arrest.

Arrest, really?

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1 minute ago, richard_smith237 said:

All we’re being asked to do is stay at home and watch more telly !!!!!

Not so. Many marriages and partnerships will end because of people cooped up together, and much domestic violence will happen ( it's already happening in NZ and it's only been a week- I hate to think how bad it will be after a month ).

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8 minutes ago, VBF said:

Something of a red herring don't you think? We were comparing viruses with fast food not other ailments. Plus Cancer is usually not contagious so it's you who suffers - you don't run the risk of infecting many others.

It's a different kind of contagion...not from people to people, but from the environment at large (air, food and so on) created by people, to people.

One could say that people transmit the virus by their social behavior, while they transmit cancer by their economical (industrial...) behavior.

 

Cancer, of which there are far more new cases than people testing positive for the viruses, doesn't offer an 80% chance of suffering mild or no symptoms, and the average death rate is far above that of the virus.

 

If you remove the people over 75, what is the death rate of the virus?

 

Now compare that with cancer...and yet the world keeps on going despite this "plague"...

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1 minute ago, thaibeachlovers said:

and if the other players do not have underlying health problems the chances they would die are extremely small, based on present knowledge. If they have good immune systems most would probably not get worse than ordinary flue symptoms.

But you missed my point..... if the 85 year old became a super carrier, and infected one of these healthy people, than THEY in turn might not suffer but THEIR contacts could.

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1 minute ago, Brunolem said:

It's a different kind of contagion...not from people to people, but from the environment at large (air, food and so on) created by people, to people.

One could say that people transmit the virus by their social behavior, while they transmit cancer by their economical (industrial...) behavior.

 

Cancer, of which there are far more new cases than people testing positive for the viruses, doesn't offer an 80% chance of suffering mild or no symptoms, and the average death rate is far above that of the virus.

 

If you remove the people over 75, what is the death rate of the virus?

 

Now compare that with cancer...and yet the world keeps on going despite this "plague"...

So far, yes but.......

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1 minute ago, VBF said:

But you missed my point..... if the 85 year old became a super carrier, and infected one of these healthy people, than THEY in turn might not suffer but THEIR contacts could.

Dont shake their hand. Its pretty simple.

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