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Thailand reports 51 new coronavirus cases, three more deaths

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1 hour ago, silver sea said:


Isn’t the problem though that Songkran is nearly here?! People will want to mass together and get close to each other and get drunk and drive their motorbikes and cars. This year not only lots of RTAs with deaths and injuries and visits to hospital, but all the congregating in large numbers will be an opportunity for the virus to spread itself around.

 

The question is if there is lockdown over Songkran, how quickly will it be lifted afterwards, bearing in mind the low infection rates and death numbers. 3 deaths from coronavirus, whereas the daily rate for deaths on the road is about 47, yet the government does little to force people to drive more carefully and responsibly.

Songkran was postponed indefinitely,  to stop the mass exodus over Songkran, so that will not happen.

 

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Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, JCP108 said:

Spread 5-10k deaths out over 69 provinces and then over 8 weeks. 

Yes, would not make much of a blip - yet.

https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca

1*r-ddYhoUtP_se6x-NOEinA.png

 

We are now heading to the "Lockdown" part of it. I do think the warm weather does play a role in reducing R0,  but all that does is to slow it down, not to stop it. Does flatten the curve, though.

Edited by DrTuner
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1 hour ago, khunpa said:

I am starting to believe that the warm weather does have an effect on this virus, as well as wearing masks. Add to that, that Thais do not shake hands, which also limits spread.

 

With so many Chinese coming in to the country during January and February, the streets should be full of dead people now. This has clearly not happened. So the virus must have trouble spreading here at same rate as other countries.

 

I hope this continues like this.

I am pretty sure you are right with the weather; the pattern is confirmed with other hot countries. Less cases and low death percentage. Unfortunately many negative reactions in the blog again of people who actually have no clue. Comparing figures over the last 80 days of all countries in the world (my new hobby), it is clear that Thailand is reporting as honest as possible, unlike my own country in Netherlands who are unable to measure all suspects. Please see my graph (not including the last figures of today). 

Thailand COVID-19 status 6th April 2020.jpg

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12 minutes ago, vermin on arrival said:

Can anyone show the link to viral pneumonia deaths in Thailand that were not attributed to covid?

Yes! Please!

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Posted (edited)

Seems like 51 infected out of 600 test yesterday. (24474 to 25071 (if the number from wordometer is real))

Edited by papao123

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Posted (edited)
9 minutes ago, papao123 said:

Seems like 51 infected out of 600 test yesterday. (24474 to 25071 (if the number from wordometer is real))

No, the number in worldometer is simply the cumulative PUI count from MoPH. Before they deleted the numbers for pending test, it was clear not all PUIs got tested. It's more likely only a part of the new PUI will get tested.

https://ddc.moph.go.th/viralpneumonia/index.php

 

Capture.JPG.be432d8fef3eafc1b6f19efeefc952f7.JPG

 

Capture.JPG.d28e7cb5e45829673cc0cacd95b08a4d.JPG

 

The only source for raw data is MoPH. All others just aggregate the information from them.

Edited by DrTuner
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2 hours ago, darksidedog said:

You have to treat this as good news. Yes, I know there are probably more cases out there, but from the perspective that the government has been saying it would only ramp up restrictions if the figures got worse, we can at least hope for some sense of normality to return, as opposed to things getting tighter.

Just hoping these figures are correct, and not just for the world to see that Thailand is superior and has the virus under control, the last thing we want is restrictions to be lifted when the virus is still rampant, 

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3 hours ago, scubascuba3 said:

So the 100ish figure was getting too obvious so now its 50ish

No, probably more to do with running out of tests

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"More than half of the cases in Bangkok" ???

This statistic just does not make any sense 

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1 minute ago, RichardColeman said:

No, probably more to do with running out of tests

Most of test are done in Bangkok, i think half of them so 300 per day or near that number. People from another provinces have to wait ( could be 30 test per day for each of these province) pretty low i mean to keep tracing the infected people

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Three more deaths, 51 new Covid-19 cases in Thailand

By THE NATION

 

800_e7d5b6379001498.jpg?v=1586155485

 

Thailand reported 51 new cases of Covid-19 and three more deaths today (April 6), bringing the total number of confirmed cases nationwide to 2,220 and 26 deaths, the spokesman for the Centre for Covid-19 Situation Administration, Dr Taweesin Visanuyothin, said.

 

He said 119 patients have recently recovered and are being sent back home soon.

 

Among the 51 new patients, 25 contracted Covid-19 from previous patients, three were infected after attending a religious ceremony in Malaysia, one foreigner contracted the virus from abroad, three are in “high-risk careers”, and 13 are medical personnel.

 

Source: https://www.nationthailand.com/news/30385487

 

nation.jpg

-- © Copyright The Nation Thailand 2020-04-06

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11 minutes ago, RichardColeman said:

No, probably more to do with running out of tests

More specifically out of the reagents used in the RT-PCR diagnosis. I would think there are enough produced at this point, not sure if enough have been procured.

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The question that needs to be seriously considered is how many tests are backlogged and there has been no reporting on them.  Are those tests being run in small batches, and is that why we see the small numbers now because of a lack of clarity, or are we in the trough.  The trough before the next big explosion of numbers.  For me, with the current movement we are seeing at the government level as far as putting things in place with curfews and such, I fear for the worst.  But then, what do I know.....stay safe and stay frosty....

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