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Virus situation sees encouraging improvement but ‘not statistically satisfactory’

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Virus situation sees encouraging improvement but ‘not statistically satisfactory’

By The Nation

 

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Yong Poovorawan

 

The Covid-19 situation in the country has seen some improvement due to the government’s new measures to tackle the spread of the virus but is “not statistically satisfactory”, Dr Yong Poovorawan, a virologist at Chulalongkorn University, said.

 

After Covid-19 began spreading, thanks in large part to people contracting the virus after attending Lumpinee Boxing Stadium events, the number of infections has been drastically increasing. Statistically, one infected individual could spread the virus to 2.5 others.

 

Foreign tourists, especially from Europe and America, and crowded locations were other reasons behind the spread of Covid-19 in Thailand.

 

Last week, however, the infection rate dropped to one person spreading the disease to 1.5. This is the result of new directives imposed by the government. Still, the number is not considered satisfactory until the rate drops to a 1:1 ratio, Yong pointed out.

 

He believes the infection rate tomorrow will be lower, but the path to zero new cases still has some way to go.

 

Source: https://www.nationthailand.com/news/30385529

 

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-- © Copyright The Nation Thailand 2020-04-07

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Not exactly great analysis. We know social distancing needs a month plus to work. 2 months will do a lot.

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27 minutes ago, wasabi said:

 

"Foreign tourists, especially from Europe and America, and crowded locations were other reasons behind the spread of Covid-19 in Thailand."

 

Naturally not a single Chinese tourist spread the virus in the land of smiles out of consideration for their Thai brothers and sisters.

Just about to write that and saw your comment.

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33 minutes ago, Forza2002 said:

Only 38 today (07Apr2020)? http://covid19.ddc.moph.go.th/en.. a ruse to convince people that the curfew is working. 🤔

Thai way of propaganda.... similar type of reporting seen with Thai big brother (China) when it's convenient lower the numbers when it becomes questionable & obvious raise the numbers

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Can you please explain to this former statistics lecturer what you mean by "‘not statistically satisfactory’"?

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