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Thailand reports 54 new COVID-19 infections

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5 hours ago, webfact said:

Thailand reports 54 new COVID-19 infections

If the numbers remain low then the restrictions may be slowly lifted, with the curfew possibly dropped... At the end of this month, otherwise this will be hard for people to understand why the continuation.

If the measures are increased or prolonged for another month then something doesn't add up.

Like the schools being closed for another 2 months until July 1st?

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4 hours ago, UbonThani said:

What tourists?

The Chinese. 😀

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25 minutes ago, JCP108 said:

If ICU beds aren't running at capacity, then a 10% increase in business might still be within their normal capacity. I wouldn't assume that they were running at 100% full prior to this. 

 

I still say that a 10-12% increase would not be "visually obvious and impossible to paper over." I think that kind of fluctuation happens all the time and we don't see it. I get that you and others are convinced you would (and, so I'm going to stop trying to make the opposite point). I just don't think we would. 

But you forget that over half of the infections are in BKK so I would think if the figures are not true BKK hospitals ICUs would be over loaded by now 

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2 minutes ago, offset said:

But you forget that over half of the infections are in BKK so I would think if the figures are not true BKK hospitals ICUs would be over loaded by now 

Also more hospitals in BKK.

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34 minutes ago, JCP108 said:

If ICU beds aren't running at capacity, then a 10% increase in business might still be within their normal capacity. I wouldn't assume that they were running at 100% full prior to this. 

 

I still say that a 10-12% increase would not be "visually obvious and impossible to paper over." I think that kind of fluctuation happens all the time and we don't see it. I get that you and others are convinced you would (and, so I'm going to stop trying to make the opposite point). I just don't think we would. 

we are not talking about standard deviations here...

 

we are talking triple digits in Europe and US

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5 hours ago, jadee said:

I remember back in February before things kicked off here, a friend of mine in China shared an editorial warming that covid19 would hit Thailand badly because of poor personal hygiene habits. Fast forward to now and most Thais are taking it extremely seriously and doing all the things that Chinese are doing - like wearing face masks and religiously applying hand gel/sanitizer. I'm also heartened to see 7-11s checking people's temperature and Big C/Tewsco doing the same thing. 

Having spent a fair amount of time in China in recent years i can tell you that personal hygene in Thailand is a lot better overall than in China !

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7 minutes ago, JCP108 said:

Also more hospitals in BKK.

 

not enough to handle 10,000 concurrent ICU stays

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1 hour ago, LeamchabangLarry said:

Monitor social media and the signals from individuals. 

Like here. Small hospital treating covid-19 patients and not enough doctors. Social media is stronger here then most think. The number of ICU beds I would gather is a static number in most hospitals. If they got overwhelmed like Italy or Spain, someone would be saying something. 

 

 

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Posted (edited)
2 hours ago, LeamchabangLarry said:

Parking lots about 25% full and Samitivej was a ghost town inside.

If I had severe pneumonia, I doubt I'd be driving to a hospital and leaving the car parked there. That's what body snatcher limos are for. 

 

I haven't wandered around hospital wards checking people out so not sure how that works. Bit creepy.

Edited by DrTuner

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8 minutes ago, Tingnongnoi said:

Somehow it is happenening in Thailand, but everyone is magically unaware of it? 

Not magically. Just simply unaware of it. 

 

Let me ask this...

 

Could the monthly death rate in Thailand increase 2% and it go under the radar of TV posters? Or are posters on here sensitive to even small fluctuations in the Thai death rate (say, even as low as 0.5% and 1%)? How small a percentage of an increase could the monthly death rate be that might go unnoticed by posters here?

 

If your answer is: Okay, the rate could go up 2% and (if not openly reported by the government and new sources), I might not be aware of it...then, that would mean that an extra 950 people could die monthly without your necessarily noticing. In the first there months of the year that could be (3 x 950) 2,850 extra deaths. 

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2 hours ago, George Aylesham said:

Latest reports say that Thailand has tested 70,000 people.

If they conducted tests proportionately with the US, they should have tested 400,000 people as they are approximately 20% of the population versus US. The Us has 350,000,000 people and have conducted 2,000,000 tests, hence the high numbers. Testing is the key.

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Posted (edited)

Nobody has ever noticed the flu season here loading up the hospitals either. Or dengue season. Doesn't seem like medical porn is very popular here. More fun to take photos of Leo bottles and post them on facebook.

Edited by DrTuner
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1 hour ago, totally thaied up said:

I am more worried about a extra 300-400 people dying daily of covid-19 in a area like Bangkok. I am talking like what is going on now in the UK, US, Italy and Spain in such numbers. It would be noted. Someone would see this. Thai social media would talk.

Exactly! As others have said there's no way it wouldn't be all over social media.

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