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World food prices fall sharply in April because of coronavirus - U.N.


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World food prices fall sharply in April because of coronavirus - U.N.

 

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FILE PHOTO: A couple wearing face masks transport a cart of rice straw home along a national road, during the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, in Quang Binh province, Vietnam May 3, 2020. REUTERS/Kham

 

ROME (Reuters) - World food prices fell for a third consecutive month in April, hit by the economic and logistical impact of the coronavirus pandemic, the United Nations food agency said on Thursday.

 

The Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) food priceindex, which measures monthly changes for a basket of cereals,oilseeds, dairy products, meat and sugar, averaged 165.5 points last month, down 3.4% on March.

 

The FAO sugar price index fell to a 13-year low, plunging 14.6% from March, with the coronavirus crisis hitting demand and tumbling crude oil prices also reducing the need for sugarcane to produce ethanol, the Rome-based agency said.

 

The vegetable oil price index fell 5.2%, hit by falling palm, soy and rapeseed oil values, while the dairy index dropped 3.6%, with butter and milk powder prices posting double-digit declines.

 

The meat index shed 2.7%, with a partial recovery in import demand from China failing to balance a slump in imports elsewhere. FAO also said major producing countries suffered logistical bottlenecks, while coronavirus lockdowns in many nations had caused a sharp fall in sales.

 

"The pandemic is hitting both the demand and supply sides for meat, as restaurant closures and reduced household incomes lead to lower consumption and labour shortages on the processing side are impacting just-in-time production systems," said FAO Senior Economist Upali Galketi Aratchilage.

 

By contrast with the other indices, FAO's cereal price index declined only slightly, as international prices of wheat and rice rose significantly while those of maize dropped sharply.

 

Rice prices rose 7.2% from March, due in large part to temporary export restrictions by Vietnam that were subsequently repealed, FAO said. Wheat prices rose 2.5% amid reports of a quick fulfilment of the export quota from Russia.

 

However, prices of coarse grains, including maize, fell 10%, hit by reduced demand for both animal feed and biofuel production.

 

FAO held its forecast for cereal production largely steady at 2.720 billion tonnes in 2019, but reduced its forecast for cereal utilisation in 2019/20 by 24.7 million tonnes, mainly because of the impact of the coronavirus on the economy.

 

FAO also unveiled its first forecasts for global wheat supply and demand in the 2020/21 marketing season, predicting world production at 762.6 million tonnes, broadly in line with the 2019 level.

 

It said it expected smaller harvests in the European Union, north Africa, Ukraine and the United States. This would be largely offset by larger harvests in Australia, Kazakhstan, Russian and India.

 

Global wheat utilisation in 2020/21 was expected to be stable, with anticipated increases in food consumption outweighing reductions in feed and industrial uses.

 

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-- © Copyright Reuters 2020-05-07
 
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12 hours ago, trainman34014 said:

You wouldn't know it looking at prices in Thai Supermarkets !

Agree. Logic would tell you that as the supply line shrinks, and demand for basics remains static, then prices should rise.

This report includes such things as sugar cane for ethanol which is a distortion if we are talking about food prices.

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The cure for low prices is low prices. I'm not worried about this year, as this year's harvest was planted last year. What I worry about is NEXT year. Farmers not selling their crops this year will not plant for next year. Trouble will arrive next year.

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These are commodity (i.e. producer/processor prices) not retail prices. It will take a while for any price drops to filter through to the retail market. Then, of course, the middlemen will probably take the lion's share of the benefits.

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