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Thai Airways faces privatisation if it declares bankruptcy


webfact

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Steady decline. Not surprising.

 

Imagine being a pilot and having % of your salary deducted each month for those employee share purchase plan. Thinking of selling those shares for your retirement and then looking at this graph. 

Screenshot_20200519-044545_DuckDuckGo.jpg

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7 minutes ago, Solidpoo said:

Thinking of selling those shares for your retirement and then looking at this graph. 

I used to contract work for an apparent blue-chip company in the UK back in the 90s.  The regular staff were riding on the crest of a wave with their share prices but they couldn't bring themselves to sell them when the going was good.  

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50 minutes ago, webfact said:

Some sources suggested that the government file the case in the United States in order to stop foreign creditors seizing THAI airplanes when they land on foreign soil. 

 

The Transport Ministry source, however, said there should be no such problem if THAI can negotiate with its foreign creditors, most of whom have leased planes to the airline. 

 

It looks like the end game is here. Thai Airways will have to file for bankruptcy. Not that that will save it but it will end their full scale feeding at the public trough. Even in bankruptcy they are still trying to play semi legal. Yes "foreign creditors" will try to seize their aircraft if bankruptcy is filed in Thailand and not internationally. They will know what this "negotiation" means, and try and grab assets. 

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A rose by any other name is still a rose...

Thai airways is Certainly no rose, or Thai orchid come to think about it. 

Never the cheapest way to fly, just the convenient way, Melbourne to Bangkok. 

They should be fully audited by independent auditors. 

Restructuring is definitely required. 

Privatization may be the answer.

If declared bankrupt it could be a great pickup. 

But what airline has the cash to buy them and their debts?

 

As long as they honour my flight credit and get the international flights up ASAP, the rest is up to them.

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1 hour ago, torturedsole said:

I used to contract work for an apparent blue-chip company in the UK back in the 90s.  The regular staff were riding on the crest of a wave with their share prices but they couldn't bring themselves to sell them when the going was good.  

It's called greed.

How much is enough?

 

Shrouds don't have pockets.

No need for cash when you croak it.

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5 minutes ago, impulse said:

 

Not sure I'd be booking any R/T overseas tickets on Thai, even when they start flying international. 

 

Probably okay on the outbound leg.  The return leg?  Maybe not so much.

 

I have my one way back to LOS waiting for the relaxing of restrictions so i can get back.

Pending the idiotic sanctions / restrictions that they may impose in order to return. 

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Probably a thai billionaire will buy it for the princely sum of 1 baht and take on some of the debt.

After heroic efforts to make the company profitable ,he will throw in the towel 3 years down the line.

Then the govt will buy it back for nothing, take on the (junk) debt, which will should be quite small

By that time, the company will be smaller with fewer planes/employees.

It might work.

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4 hours ago, webfact said:

Officials, however, say that once THAI becomes a private entity, it will find it easier to restructure by cutting redundant staff, slashing wages as well as cancelling perks offered to the local elite and efficiently managing its costs as a whole. 

 

THIS!

 

Way to go.

Edited by Antonymous
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5 hours ago, webfact said:

Officials, however, say that once THAI becomes a private entity, it will find it easier to restructure by cutting redundant staff, slashing wages as well as cancelling perks offered to the local elite and efficiently managing its costs as a whole. 

Nothing like having a bunch of parasites sucking you dry while you are trying to run a business.  Why would anybody want to invest while the connected get a free ride on your investment? 

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5 hours ago, webfact said:

Thai Airways faces privatisation if it declares bankruptcy

Trying to salvage something that is completely lost, it's been sliding for the last decade at least and now it's a debt ridden un-viable proposition. Only the state enterprise has kept it afloat these past years for their own benefits of free perks & travel, the face of Thais national carriers is an embarrassment of corruption, poor management and lack of knowledge of the aviation business.

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the shares are not the issue. the whole company has a stock market value of less than 300 million USD, and most of the stock is held by the Government or quasi govt entities anyway. 

The issue is the debt 5 billion plus USD, and the question of who owns that debt and who will have to take the losses as chunks of it are written off. Much of the senior level debt is owed to (effectively) Govt controlled banks. But there is also a considerable amount of debenture debt which is in the hands of Thai individuals and  a variety of savings co-operatives and certain corporate  employee benefit funds/trusts.

Some of these small savings institutions have significant positions in these debentures because, in the past, Thai was seen as a safe company and with Government backing. As debenture holders they would rank behind the Government banks in any re structuring.

In the end the Government will have to make some tough calls as to how the pain is going to be shared out, but the debenture owners and the various small co-ops involved look likely to suffer significant losses.

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Let it happen. State owned monopolies are rarely capable of providing great service (True Visions as the cable monopoly here is a great example, horrifically poor content). Let them go bankrupt. They have been costing the nation alot of money, for a long time. They are a "has been", on the international scene, and a once very good airline. But, that was a long time ago. And it is best to privatize. State monopolies might work in North Korea, Uganda, Egypt, Bolivia, Oman and Iran, but they are not appropriate for Thailand. Not an efficient model. Also, the private sector would have a much easier time say NO to the army officers, and government moochers, looking for free tickets. 

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