Tourism revenue in 2023 expected to reach 80% of 2019

[nchuckle 2,016]

1 hour ago, decca60 said:

By 2023, the remaining survivors of the Thai toutism facilities will not be sufficient to welcome 80% of 2019 visitors; should this happen...... weekly TAT delirium again.....

Exactly the point. What analysis has been done or even considered regarding what functioning remaining infrastructure,skills etc. from an industry that will have died by then and how to restore it ? I suggest that this kind of level of thinking,foresight and planning is way beyond the competence of virtually every official. Much easier just to spout meaningless unsubstantiated claims 

[ThailandRyan 16,442]

55 minutes ago, hotchilli said:

Yourself excluded?

Never, I need my strength every time I look at another daily TAT report or story that indicates some other idea to bring in tourism or that so many million are coming, or...well I could go on but i don't have the strength.

[TKDfella 2,085]

Well, Mr. TAT I suggest you start reading about what's going on in the rest of the world before you start making any predictions. Take East Africa for example. National parks there depend on the revenue from tourism to fund protection of endangered animals, strange irony in itself, as well as the impact on people in the region. Kenya has seen, according to a New Scientist article, a 92% decline in ectotourism and although the generated revenue is much smaller than the figures quoted in the OP the impact could be more devastating in a comparative sense. And this is the final quote for the article; 'But there seems little choice but to change, as international air travel is expected to stay subdued for several years after the pandemic. “Conservation as we know it is at risk,” says McVey. “It feels like we are in a world of adapt or die.”

So Mr. TAT, as many here on TV have said in recent weeks, stop thinking about a quick and easy return of tourists, 'it ain't going to happen', because other countries are just not thinking that way...even with a vaccine.
 

[digger70 2,237]

20 hours ago, webfact said:

Tourism revenue in 2023 expected to reach 80% of 2019

I wish they shut up ,they don't know what's going to happen .They Dreaming

Forecasts speculations they mean <deleted>

[shackleton 980]

Well maybe he was right just got the figures mixed up

Will be 20% of 2019  not 80% 

A mistake easy to make when you are juggling  figures around 

 

[khunPer 6,067]

Other international news articles today talks about 2024 as the time when tourism will be normal, like before Covid-19.

[Blumpie 1,215]

They are starting to break the news to Thais.  Not only is 2021 probably going to be nearly a write-off, 2022 may be just awful too.  2023 at 80 percent.  Maybe.  Maybe more.  

The only thing that is going to get tourism back to normal will be inoculations which you MUST get before entering Thailand.  The availability of vaccines will be one of the key factors in the recovery.  

My advice?  2021 will nearly be a write off too, so prepare accordingly.  

[Destiny1990 7,293]

Oh his calculation is based purely on his expectations.. So its totally worthless

[Miami007 470]

7 hours ago, ExpatOilWorker said:

2020 is pretty much a write-off with about 20% of the 2019 revenue. 

The most pressing question is how will 2021 be?

Different agencies have projected 8-11 million tourists, so it could be 20-25% of 2019 levels. 

Meager years ahead for the tourist industry,  but good deals should be plentiful for us local travelers. 

The problem with the good deals for locals is that there may not be many hotels left to chose from at the end of 2021. Hotel owners don't have unlimited funds to keep the operation running at normal service levels.

Edited November 27, 2020 by Miami007
Typos

[mike787 3,481]

Excellent...all will be ok!  Open the borders NOW for everyone. Let the cash flow in.

[Elkski 1,503]

What reasoning is there to try to predict this.  No one in Thailand knows the word  planning.  

[Advocatus Diaboli 50]

He made a miscalculation..... he meant 80% of what was achieved in 2020. 

[Olivie 228]

13 hours ago, webfact said:

He added that China had not allowed its citizens to travel on group tours, until a vaccine is ready. “This is what Chinese representatives told the Minister of Tourism and Sports on Wednesday,” he said.

I know a lot of chinese. They are not coming next year.
The government wants them to spend their money in China instead.
So the solution, they are not allowing chinese to traval abroad without the vaccine and at the same time it will be difficult for chinese to get the vaccine (if you are not well connected or business related etc...).

Most chinese I know are spending their holidays in China.

Seems we, European and american will be the king next year

[smylee52 92]

"under the plan to revive the sector in 2022 and 2023."  ROFLMAO . TAT couldn't plan a <deleted> up in a pub .

 

Get serious about wanting to get people back without trying to do them over  on re-entry . 500,000 baht in bank account , buy million baht  elite visa , buy 5 million baht condo . #uck off.

 

1, Covid test

2, Covid insurance

3, Quarantine 

 

Job done.

 

[Soikhaonoiken 925]

Me thinks TAT has got a big surprise to come if they think they will achieve 80% of 2019 Tourists, as stated by other posters, Thailand was a great place to visit, but not anymore....