Expert warns COVID wave may be much worse than one and two - expect 1,000 cases/day

[Jimbo2014]

If only there was some kindoff Vaccine for this bug.  I bet that would stop it and let us get back to normal life.  I wonder if such a thing exists?  ????

[CharlieH]

Reported conspiracy nonsense and subsequent replies removed.

[tandor]

7 hours ago, Thaiwrath said:

But travelling home for Songkran, many on crowded public transport, is not a problem, according to the Health Minister Anutin !

Maybe he should have consulted you before making his stupid announcement ?

...exactly..left doesnt know what right is doing..we need one spokesperson that citizens/residents/tourists can listen to and believe..Im going with the Doctor Chindawatana.

Edited April 7, 2021 by tandor

[John Drake]

26 minutes ago, paulikens said:

so many chris whittys on here

 

Who?

[Enoon]

2 hours ago, fleccer said:

How can you predict 1000 cases a day? Please do explain it to us Mr expert .Not only that, but the third wave will be even worse than the first two, we are at the apotheosis of catastrophism ,no discounts

 

Hes not predicting anything.

 

He knows what the real situation has been all along.

 

Cases have already been higher than that........but have not being identified as such.

 

Nether have the fatalities arising from them.

 

Now that Thailands health services are about to be undeniably overwhelmed he has finally decided to speak out.

 

Given how harshly he would have been treated, had he spoken out about the reality sooner, one cannot really blame him for not doing so.

 

 

 

Edited April 7, 2021 by Enoon

[anchadian]

Matthew Tostevin

 

@TostevinM

 

Thailand has detected its first domestic cases of the more transmissible COVID-19 variant B117 that was first found in UK, a health expert said

[NightSky]

I hope COVID doesn’t take hold in Thailand, it will mean many casualties especially in poorer regions. 
 

Get the vaccine factory rolling!

[rabas]

32 minutes ago, anchadian said:

Matthew Tostevin

 

@TostevinM

 

Thailand has detected its first domestic cases of the more transmissible COVID-19 variant B117 that was first found in UK, a health expert said

 

"Thailand has detected 24 cases of the coronavirus variant B.1.1.7 first detected in Britain, a virologist said on Wednesday, its first reported domestic transmission of the highly contagious variant.

 

“This variant is very viral and can spread 1.7 times faster than the usual strain,” Yong Poovorawan, a senior virologist from Chulalongkorn University told a health ministry briefing."

 

https://www.reuters.com/article/health-coronavirus-thailand-variant-idUSL4N2M0260

 

Edited April 7, 2021 by rabas

[Magenta408]

Everybody is an authority - an expert - a know everything. They are throwing the bugga-bugga at us.

[spidermike007]

Not sure about you guys, but I am feeling anger, rage, disappointment and utter frustration, all directed at this lazy government. The truly astonishing aspect of this, that few seem to be discussing, is that this could have been at least partly avoided, had Prayuth and Anutin, two stunningly incompetent (or seriously compromised?) men, taken action early, and decisively. Instead, the whole country is made to suffer the consequences of inaction, of not locking down ground zero, Samut Sakorn (just a relatively small section of the province, actually) the first day of the second outbreak. It is beyond comprehension. It should have been locked down like a maximum security penitentiary. Cordoned off. Nobody comes in or out. And can anyone guess why it wasn't? Deny the protestors the right to protest? No other explanation means anything, or comes close to breaking down why this action as not decisively taken. Sure, the main market was closed. But, people were allowed to travel freely, and become super spreaders. Just incredibly dumb policy and a nearly unforgivable lack of action. 


I would love to do a poll, and ask how many of us and how many Thais, thought the army would use this latest outbreak to their advantage? To flex their feeble muscles, even more? To put down the return of the promised protests? To contain the masses?
 
How about if we turn this around on them. I don't know about you, but I am quite angry right now. They allowed this to happen, after all. This could have been so easily prevented. So, what the ex-pat community, and the Thai people should be asking is:

1. How can you demonstrate to us, that you are up for the task of leadership?
2. What are you doing to prove that you can and will protect us?
3. Instead of contact tracing us, how about we trace you, and make sure you are doing your job? How about you report to us daily, and let us know how you are handling and containing this epidemic that happened on your watch? Stop talking, and start working, and doing your jobs.
4. Why did you not prevent this? How did you allow these corrupt officials to let infected people in? Why is nobody in a position of power being arrested? Why aren't heads rolling?
5. Why are you not making the vaccines more of a priority? Why isn't the army sacrificing some of its huge budget for the people? 
6. What are you planning on offering the people in the way of assistance, so they can survive this disaster you helped create?
7. Can you demonstrate to us why you think Anutin, who has no background whatsoever in the filed of health, is up for the task of tackling this emergency?
8. And why are you shutting down so many businesses, yet you allowed ground zero to remain open to people coming and going since this latest outbreak happened, only closing the province down yesterday? Why such bad decisions, and such extreme incompetence? How do you justify that? How do you explain that? Thousands of cases emanated from Samut province. You knew that would happen. 
9. How about a compulsory level of competence and experience, for all future administration appointments to key positions?
10. Why have you been so hard on foreigners, making it so incredibly difficult to fly in, yet so lax on the borders?
11. Why should we allow you to remain in power? What have you done lately to deserve that power? 

[CharlieH]

Reported post and response to it removed.

 

Please note:

IF you are going to make any claims, support it with credible links to the source information of that claim.

If you do not, it will be removed as unsubstantiated nonsense.

[thalley]

Thailand has been doing really great so far 

 

I am thankful to be here,

I trust we will be fine 

 

I do not know since when the word "skepsis" 

and "to be skeptical" got framed into something negative,

must have happened somewhere in the middle ages   

 

anyway..

 

may smart modified scientists,

all over the world, become endemic,

with lots of wisdom and no panic,

to give a final blow to this pandemic

 

[Excel]

 

21 minutes ago, spidermike007 said:

Not sure about you guys, but I am feeling anger, rage, disappointment and utter frustration, all directed at this lazy government. The truly astonishing aspect of this, that few seem to be discussing, is that this could have been at least partly avoided, had Prayuth and Anutin, two stunningly incompetent (or seriously compromised?) men, taken action early, and decisively. Instead, the whole country is made to suffer the consequences of inaction, of not locking down ground zero, Samut Sakorn (just a relatively small section of the province, actually) the first day of the second outbreak. It is beyond comprehension. It should have been locked down like a maximum security penitentiary. Cordoned off. Nobody comes in or out. And can anyone guess why it wasn't? Deny the protestors the right to protest? No other explanation means anything, or comes close to breaking down why this action as not decisively taken. Sure, the main market was closed. But, people were allowed to travel freely, and become super spreaders. Just incredibly dumb policy and a nearly unforgivable lack of action. 


I would love to do a poll, and ask how many of us and how many Thais, thought the army would use this latest outbreak to their advantage? To flex their feeble muscles, even more? To put down the return of the promised protests? To contain the masses?
 
How about if we turn this around on them. I don't know about you, but I am quite angry right now. They allowed this to happen, after all. This could have been so easily prevented. So, what the ex-pat community, and the Thai people should be asking is:

1. How can you demonstrate to us, that you are up for the task of leadership?
2. What are you doing to prove that you can and will protect us?
3. Instead of contact tracing us, how about we trace you, and make sure you are doing your job? How about you report to us daily, and let us know how you are handling and containing this epidemic that happened on your watch? Stop talking, and start working, and doing your jobs.
4. Why did you not prevent this? How did you allow these corrupt officials to let infected people in? Why is nobody in a position of power being arrested? Why aren't heads rolling?
5. Why are you not making the vaccines more of a priority? Why isn't the army sacrificing some of its huge budget for the people? 
6. What are you planning on offering the people in the way of assistance, so they can survive this disaster you helped create?
7. Can you demonstrate to us why you think Anutin, who has no background whatsoever in the filed of health, is up for the task of tackling this emergency?
8. And why are you shutting down so many businesses, yet you allowed ground zero to remain open to people coming and going since this latest outbreak happened, only closing the province down yesterday? Why such bad decisions, and such extreme incompetence? How do you justify that? How do you explain that? Thousands of cases emanated from Samut province. You knew that would happen. 
9. How about a compulsory level of competence and experience, for all future administration appointments to key positions?
10. Why have you been so hard on foreigners, making it so incredibly difficult to fly in, yet so lax on the borders?
11. Why should we allow you to remain in power? What have you done lately to deserve that power? 

I tend to agree with you and understand such frustrations. How is it that the many countries in the world criticize China for their unfair treatment of the Uighur Muslims yet totally ignore the fact that the Thai government are ensuring the rapid spread of this contagion to the poor regions of Thailand by actively encouraging mass travel from the red areas to other provinces. Seems like a deliberate and callous act that has the potential to infect the poor yet these actions have received no adverse world publicity. Can you imagine what the outcry would have been if other heads of major civilised countries had encouraged the same thing in similar circumstances ?  

 

 

Edited April 7, 2021 by Excel

[superal]

8 hours ago, Shuya said:

One would think this statement would be a good communication tool to force the government to speed up the vaccination through the private sector.... for example by Bangkok Hospital? 

Bangkok hospitals are ready to offer jabs , once they have the OK from the government , at 2000 baht a jab ( not sure what vaccine they will use ) , so 4000 baht for the 2 jabs and not many Thais will be going for that methinks .     The concept is good and is being used in the UK with various agencies being employed to carry out the jabs , e.g. nationwide pharmacies .

[Excel]

1 hour ago, John Drake said:

 

Who?

Wasn't he that famous doctor ?

[StevieAus]

7 hours ago, Niteowl45 said:

This is another example of why it will be a long time before I visit Thailand again.

 

People who spend thousands of dollars to come over now have to also get expensive health insurance, quarantine, tracking etc, while in the meantime they let in workers from nearby countries for some payola and then they tell locals to go traveling in the country during another wave....

 

Screw them and their idiotic way of doing things.....

 

 

And the Covid free paradise where you are currently residing is ??

Edited April 7, 2021 by onthedarkside
personal comment removed

[DogNo1]

The government should make the vaccines available NOW!

[Mavideol]

...... Bangkok Hospital doctor/expert should have contacted Anutin before posting, now Anutin will look bad and will loose face/credibility (if he had any left)    555

Edited April 7, 2021 by Mavideol

[Mavideol]

8 hours ago, webfact said:

He suggested avoiding gatherings like parties and in pubs and entertainment venues.

but Anutin said it would be safer to visit family, who should we trust, Anutin ?  not in this life time   555

 

"Mr Anutin said that it was tradition that people should want to return home to make merit with family"

[thalley]

8 hours ago, Shuya said:

Good thing they had over 1 year to prepare. Used the time wisely I see.

at least I would give some credit to this doctor,

try mentioning the word "medicine" in the free world    

[Nanaplaza666]

8 hours ago, brewsterbudgen said:

 

This is about one doctor's opinion.

Is it ?????

[mrfill]

1 hour ago, paulikens said:

so many chris whittys on here

 

.. next slide please...   ????

[Fex Bluse]

6 hours ago, BKKTRAVELER said:

Just heard rumors that the new clusters in Bkk are people infected with the British strain. If that's the case, we're probably screwed. That being said, they are rumors only, so who knows.

 

Before people ask me, they were cropped pictures of chats between doctors at Chula hospital discussing it. Can easily be all fake, and hopefully it is.

 

Wow! Not even UK but British Strain. That's very specific. Scary. 

[Fex Bluse]

32 minutes ago, Excel said:

 

I tend to agree with you and understand such frustrations. How is it that the many countries in the world criticize China for their unfair treatment of the Uighur Muslims yet totally ignore the fact that the Thai government are ensuring the rapid spread of this contagion to the poor regions of Thailand by actively encouraging mass travel from the red areas to other provinces. Seems like a deliberate and callous act that has the potential to infect the poor yet these actions have received no adverse world publicity. Can you imagine what the outcry would have been if other heads of major civilised countries had encouraged the same thing in similar circumstances ?  

 

 

 

I don't know. I think we should let the world focus on the real and real big enemy of humanity. Thailand is mostly insignificant by virtually every standard of measure - other rice exports. The world is on the right track with the anti China government backlash. After all, they are responsible for this global mess that will take a decade to fix entirely. 

[WineOh]

Suspend Songkran now!

or dont and face the dreadful music that awaits.

 

The choice is on your head, Mr. A Charnvirakul! 

[natway09]

This guy is private enterprise not Government & feels the need to advise on what he 

is looking at every day. Only a fool would not heed his advice.

The medical proffession is furious that travel at Songkran is going ahead

[GroveHillWanderer]

6 hours ago, BKKTRAVELER said:

Just heard rumors that the new clusters in Bkk are people infected with the British strain. If that's the case, we're probably screwed. That being said, they are rumors only, so who knows.

 

Before people ask me, they were cropped pictures of chats between doctors at Chula hospital discussing it. Can easily be all fake, and hopefully it is.

Confirmed by the MOPH in briefings today that the surge of new cases includes the UK variant.

[Daithi85]

1 hour ago, spidermike007 said:

Not sure about you guys, but I am feeling anger, rage, disappointment and utter frustration, all directed at this lazy government. The truly astonishing aspect of this, that few seem to be discussing, is that this could have been at least partly avoided, had Prayuth and Anutin, two stunningly incompetent (or seriously compromised?) men, taken action early, and decisively. Instead, the whole country is made to suffer the consequences of inaction, of not locking down ground zero, Samut Sakorn (just a relatively small section of the province, actually) the first day of the second outbreak. It is beyond comprehension. It should have been locked down like a maximum security penitentiary. Cordoned off. Nobody comes in or out. And can anyone guess why it wasn't? Deny the protestors the right to protest? No other explanation means anything, or comes close to breaking down why this action as not decisively taken. Sure, the main market was closed. But, people were allowed to travel freely, and become super spreaders. Just incredibly dumb policy and a nearly unforgivable lack of action. 


I would love to do a poll, and ask how many of us and how many Thais, thought the army would use this latest outbreak to their advantage? To flex their feeble muscles, even more? To put down the return of the promised protests? To contain the masses?
 
How about if we turn this around on them. I don't know about you, but I am quite angry right now. They allowed this to happen, after all. This could have been so easily prevented. So, what the ex-pat community, and the Thai people should be asking is:

1. How can you demonstrate to us, that you are up for the task of leadership?
2. What are you doing to prove that you can and will protect us?
3. Instead of contact tracing us, how about we trace you, and make sure you are doing your job? How about you report to us daily, and let us know how you are handling and containing this epidemic that happened on your watch? Stop talking, and start working, and doing your jobs.
4. Why did you not prevent this? How did you allow these corrupt officials to let infected people in? Why is nobody in a position of power being arrested? Why aren't heads rolling?
5. Why are you not making the vaccines more of a priority? Why isn't the army sacrificing some of its huge budget for the people? 
6. What are you planning on offering the people in the way of assistance, so they can survive this disaster you helped create?
7. Can you demonstrate to us why you think Anutin, who has no background whatsoever in the filed of health, is up for the task of tackling this emergency?
8. And why are you shutting down so many businesses, yet you allowed ground zero to remain open to people coming and going since this latest outbreak happened, only closing the province down yesterday? Why such bad decisions, and such extreme incompetence? How do you justify that? How do you explain that? Thousands of cases emanated from Samut province. You knew that would happen. 
9. How about a compulsory level of competence and experience, for all future administration appointments to key positions?
10. Why have you been so hard on foreigners, making it so incredibly difficult to fly in, yet so lax on the borders?
11. Why should we allow you to remain in power? What have you done lately to deserve that power? 

U should call them  ,offer some advice. U seem to think u know  Alot. 

[onthedarkside]

Several coronavirus misinformation posts, two personal comment posts on fellow forum members, and a comment on moderation post have been removed.

 

If you're going to make factual claims relating to coronavirus matters, please include in your post substantiation from credible government or news media sources along with a weblink. Otherwise, you risk having your post removed.

 

[candide]

1 hour ago, superal said:

Bangkok hospitals are ready to offer jabs , once they have the OK from the government , at 2000 baht a jab ( not sure what vaccine they will use ) , so 4000 baht for the 2 jabs and not many Thais will be going for that methinks .     The concept is good and is being used in the UK with various agencies being employed to carry out the jabs , e.g. nationwide pharmacies .

In such a country, it would be expected that the sequence starts with the hi-so, then the middle-so, and then only the low-so.