Jump to content

Thailand reports 1,767 new COVID-19 cases, 2 more deaths


webfact

Recommended Posts

1 minute ago, Bkk Brian said:

More than happy for you to call it a linear growth, I'll carry on calling it an exponential trend line.

 

Its the actual data that is important not the terms used. The fact is there is a surge in cases in the pandemic that is clearly not under control.

 

However just to keep you happy then please feel free to call this a linear increase, I'll carry on calling it an exponential trend line..........thanks..........cool.

 

Feel free to make your own covid chart and post.

Haven't read all the comments, but using normal cartesian co-ordinates if the gradient is increasing then that it is exponential growth......yes??

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, BookShe said:

Why does it kill a relatively healthy young person in just 2 days, and on the other hand, relatively sick and unhealthy people don't even recognize they caught the virus.

This surely is saying that we know very little, or not?

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Surelynot said:

using normal cartesian co-ordinates if the gradient is increasing then that it is exponential growth......yes??

No, since any power greater than 1 will give increasing gradient (think of a quartic curve).

Link to comment
Share on other sites

What was the number that Thai doctor quoted a few days ago, 26,000 new cases a day?

 

But never mind, TAT's plans to drop quarantine requirements and open up to foreign tourists are still on track, lol.

  • Haha 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, PGSan said:

This surely is saying that we know very little, or not?

If you take every detail we know equally, then yes, we know a lot. If you weigh these details by importance then statistically we know nothing. ????

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, madmen said:

Can't see farang getting the jab before end of year while these numbers continue to soar! 

I think your optimism that there is or will be enough vaccines in Thailand to inoculate key personnel let alone Farangs is wishful thinking...

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Surelynot said:

Exponential growth refers to a manner in which a quantity increases when its rate of growth is proportional to itself.

 

True, but an increasing gradient does not imply such proportional dependence.    For a quadratic the rate of growth increases but it is only proportional to the square root of the quantity itself, an important distinction. 

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, BookShe said:

If you take every detail we know equally, then yes, we know a lot. If you weigh these details by importance then statistically we know nothing. ????

Err, statistically speaking this is very confusing!  How do 

count details?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

29 minutes ago, dinsdale said:

Like to know the number of tests.

 

As mentioned above, there was a substantial amount of info presented in yesterday's thread about the amount of COVID testing that's been going on in Thailand on a daily basis dating back to the start of the pandemic.

 

The discussion of that begins at this point in the thread:

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

45 minutes ago, Marvin Hagler said:


I have an idea why...they didn’t report them...it’s a case of occums razor...either they under reported them or Thailand alone in the world has some special resistance to Covid. The simple explanation seems more plausible compared to some miracle immunity not shred by even their close genetic cousins in the region.

It is possible that they under reported the death toll. You are right. But.

 

The following post a few days old. Back then the number of death was "only" 95.

"Hungary with a population of only 9.6 Million is recorded 24,000 fatalities. That is pretty bad. Thailand with 70 Million only 95 as of yet. Add a zero to the 95.    950 is still "nothing" in a population of 70 Mill. Add two zeroes. 9500 and many small European countries would take that as their final death toll."

 

I don't know the answer. I'm just bringing up some interesting facts. ????

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

33 minutes ago, rumbo1 said:

All these figures but they never show how many were tested, only ever hear of positive results. 

Was it 1% or 100% of the tests that were positive? 

 

 

Look in the middle of yesterday's thread on new COVID cases for a lot of information on the volume of testing that's been done. The positivity rate depends on who's being tested, targeted groups where outbreaks have occurred vs. random testing.

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, PGSan said:

 

True, but an increasing gradient does not imply such proportional dependence.    For a quadratic the rate of growth increases but it is only proportional to the square root of the quantity itself, an important distinction. 

Right I think I get it now.....there are two types of exponential growths (or decays)......the correctly defined one a mathematician would understand....and the one politicians and the like might bandy about...simply meaning an increasing gradient.......

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, PGSan said:

No! It must have a growth rate proportional to its value to be exponential.  A constant growth rate gives linear growth.

Yes, it’s all very subtle and confusing — we know!

Edited by PGSan
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The BMA for Bangkok over the weekend began issuing their own daily COVID updates for the province, including a version in EN... But there's little explanation of just what to make of some of their statistics or accounting for the differences between the BMA report and MoPH information.

 

04-18-21l.jpg.2a07ca7a77b2d4fe8b10bab0e4e8404b.jpg

 

https://www.facebook.com/prbangkok/photos/a.340316886067939/3410967912336139/

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, BookShe said:

Why does it kill a relatively healthy young person in just 2 days, and on the other hand, relatively sick and unhealthy people don't even recognize they caught the virus. 

Read an article that pinned a lot on interferon......this is produced by your body (as I understand it) to kick start the body's immune system into action........too little and it's too late....the virus gets a good run at you......too much and your own immune system goes crazy and attacks 'you'.......as might be able to tell...not an expert.

Edited by Surelynot
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, BookShe said:

These pre-existing conditions are giving us a false narrative. Most listed pre-existing conditions are not life-threatening. People can live a full lifespan with diabetes if it's checked. Same for high blood pressure. Both can be kept in order with medicines.

Be that as it may, obesity, diabetes and high blood pressure have been recognised for a long time now as predisposing people to a higher risk of serious illness, hospitalisation and death, when they are infected with CoVid-19.

 

There are other conditions that also present a risk (such as heart disease) but these three are definitely among the risk factors.

 

See link below from the British Heart Foundation.

 

What factors put you at risk from coronavirus?

 

Just to take diabetes as an example, the article points out that:

 

"A study of over three million people with diagnosed Type 1 and Type 2 diabetes in England found that the risk of Covid-19 death when you have diabetes increases in line with the level of hyperglycaemia (high blood sugar). We can also see that since the start of April, the weekly rate of deaths in people with diabetes has been twice what it was before the coronavirus outbreak."

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

24 minutes ago, natway09 said:

The numbers arriving in the country are of concern (288 today)

Authorities at point of deperture are obviously just letting them board. or does this include land border entries bound for quarantine anyway

The OP is far from clear.  It talks about "people entering quarantine" not people entering the country. The form of reporting has changed over the past couple of days and needs some clarification.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, madmen said:

Can't see farang getting the jab before end of year while these numbers continue to soar! 

I assume you mean foreigners as the Thai authorities don't not distinguish on race. Anyway, firefighters should be able to get the jab from private Hospitals very soon. 

  • Confused 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Bkk Brian said:

Do you see the pattern? Exponential growth does not stop because of a 3 day flatline

 

todays chart.png

We can see the pattern and it's concerning. Exponential growth Is a mathematical term to show the relationship between Y and X. This is not a exponential growth. However, it doesn't matter, it's a concerning growth and the real numbers (not positive tests) might aswell be exponential.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.





×
×
  • Create New...