Danderman123 Posted May 8, 2021 Share Posted May 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, Swimfan said: Show me accurate testing daily testing data and how long they are taking to turn around the tests. I have heard up to 4 days. given the lack of transparent data any so called positivity rate is just a stab in the dark Detailed testing data was posted here earlier, showing testing results in Klong Toey. Some tests were incomplete 2 days after samples were taken. Positivity rate was 4%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swimfan Posted May 8, 2021 Share Posted May 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, Surelynot said: Yep...that looks contained to me........... Didn’t India think they had their second wave contained and then it took of like wildfire thence becoming the third wave 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swimfan Posted May 8, 2021 Share Posted May 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, Danderman123 said: Detailed testing data was posted here earlier, showing testing results in Klong Toey. Some tests were incomplete 2 days after samples were taken. Positivity rate was 4%. How can you say 4% maybe 50% of the test were still incomplete. You don’t know. you are just stabbing in the dark 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Surelynot Posted May 8, 2021 Share Posted May 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, Swimfan said: Didn’t India think they had their second wave contained and then it took of like wildfire thence becoming the third wave Don't go upsetting him. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bkk Brian Posted May 8, 2021 Share Posted May 8, 2021 17 minutes ago, Danderman123 said: Maybe you try to provide information and/or analysis for the readers here, rather than simply trying to opine on every one of my posts. I am trying to explain why the current wave seems to be contained, and why the number of cases reported daily don't seem to be indicative of a catastrophe. The Doomsayers alternate between claiming the epidemic is going out of control to saying that the authorities are lucky because the heat is stopping the epidemic. But no analysis of the situation, just assertions. Worthless to the readers here. I'm just seeing where you get your information that 5% positiviy rate denote flat growth as its a rather bizarre assertion and misleading. However now I can see you do not have any evidence for it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Excel Posted May 8, 2021 Share Posted May 8, 2021 1 hour ago, Danderman123 said: I guess my background in statistical analysis is causing me to write about the numbers in a way you don't understand. Let me explain it a different way: if the daily numbers fluctuate in a range, but the average remains the same, that's a random with no growth. If there is fluctuation, but the average increases, then that's also a random walk, with growth. It means the positivity rate is increasing. If the daily numbers go up every day, so that the average increases, that's an indication of a positivity rate above 5% and is real bad news. My , now you are claiming what your background is even more suggests your posts are totally absurd as recognised by many here, and if your background was even partly true your posts would have had a sound technical argument to support them, which they have not. Any way enough of your make believe stories. If there was a file for fairytales you would be in it as there is not you are now on ignore 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patong2021 Posted May 8, 2021 Share Posted May 8, 2021 (edited) I think some make the same misinterpretation that India made - interpreting the absence of large numbers as a sign that all is well. I see from news that the India variant is described as "break out" that can infect people previously infected with the initial wuhan version of virus and this is why it can spread so fast. I am not surprised because we see this with other virus like cold and flu which can infect people repeatedly. Thailand is at same stage India was before explosion, except India was producing 2 million vaccine doses a day, and sadly Thailand manufactures nothing. India has already vaccinated 200 million+ so there is potential positive change in future. If Thailand does not get moving on vaccination pronto before big wave hits, then we will see devastation. Edited May 8, 2021 by Patong2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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