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New Brexit polls suggest shift in favour of leaving the EU


webfact

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Markets say it's virtually a done deal:

"Sterling hit a 2016 high - a series of late opinion polls favoured Britain staying in the European Union and bookmakers odds indicated a further shift towards the "Remain" camp. An Ipsos MORI poll for the Evening Standard, conducted on Tuesday and Wednesday, showed 52 percent of British voters would opt to remain while 48 percent would opt to leave. An online Populus poll showed support for an "In" vote at 55 percent.

Earlier polls by ComRes and by YouGov also showed a last-minute rise in support for Britain to remain in the EU. Sterling rose 1.5 percent in morning trade in London to top $1.49 for the first time this year. GBP=D4". The market is clearly now pricing in, with near certainty, a "Remain" vote... I do think a "Remain" vote is more likely, but not with the degree of certainty that appears to be now priced," said Adam Cole, head of G10 currency strategy at RBC Capital Markets."

http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-global-forex-idUKKCN0Z901Q

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Visit Barnsley @Barnsley

Brexit*

*What an overweight Barnsley lass does when she sits on a white plastic garden chair.

#barnsleyisbrill

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It depends who one converses with

90%+ of the people I know are strongly remain

Of course they are engineers and other professionals. This is battle between the ABC1s and the C2DEs

I fear that with the current state of UK education and media, the latter group will prevail.

That, to me, has to be one of the most demeaning statements I have read for a long time with what it implies.

Does being an engineer make you better than anyone else? Having an education does not equate to having common sense or to mean that you know better than the rest.

It is comments like yours trying to imply you know better than the rest that would have driven me to vote to leave if I was a doubter.

What you fail to realise is that many on here do have an education but they do not have to shout about it.

I fail to understand your extreme sensitivity, but I'm afraid if the cap fits, put it on!

It is a matter of probabilities

Contributors here don't seem to understand statistics.

The point is that ABC1s are MORE LIKELY to vote remain. Nobody is saying that all will.

Can you understand that?

In the same way C2DEs will TEND TO vote Brexit.

My point was that the result may indicate what the balance is

There was a piece in The Economist recently which makes the same point

BTW, if you vote Brexit nobody is saying you are in the C2DE group!

I don't know why I bother frankly.....

Nor does anybody else know why you bother.

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Unfortunately many voters are primarily motivated by fear of immigrants

and as polls close at 10pm with most likely voting enroute after work,

if they see this beforehand, with roughly 50% more votes left to cast,

could push Brexit through:

'Many wounded' after gunman attacks German cinema

http://www.itv.com/news/update/2016-06-23/at-least-20-wounded-by-gunman-at-german-cinema/

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I guess it will be a remain. All 3 qualified UK teams are in the second round of the European Championship.
The frustration factor in the country is so much less.
If all teams (England, Wales and Northern Ireland) were eliminated in the preliminary round,
then it would have given an brexit.

Panem et circenses
Sicut in Roma antiqua


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Unfortunately many voters are primarily motivated by fear of immigrants

and as polls close at 10pm with most likely voting enroute after work,

if they see this beforehand, with roughly 50% more votes left to cast,

could push Brexit through:

'Many wounded' after gunman attacks German cinema

http://www.itv.com/news/update/2016-06-23/at-least-20-wounded-by-gunman-at-german-cinema/

Early yet but he appears to have managed to open fire in a cinema and not actually hit anyone - injuries are due to teargas.

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I guess it will be a remain. All 3 qualified UK teams are in the second round of the European Championship.

The frustration factor in the country is so much less.

If all teams (England, Wales and Northern Ireland) were eliminated in the preliminary round,

then it would have given an brexit.

Panem et circenses

Sicut in Roma antiqua

Bread and circuses eh? A bit Juvenal?

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I'm actually happy to see that the folks in Britain are not as easily manipulated to thinking burning bridges is a good idea, as it seems to be in the USA at the moment.

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You real think I draw some kind of welfare!

Haha! I can't see myself EVER retiring. I have 6 engineering companies in Thailand

However, if I was in such a position, there are countries MUCH more civilised than the UK.

I chose Germany or Denmark because I happen to speak the languages

?

You spend most of the day on TV yet manage to run six engineering companies. And multilingual.

Impressive stuff.

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#1877, Grouse, May I add my Tuppence worth? Okay, I am one of those ABC1's who works in Engineering and has voted OUT when the polling booths opened at 7am this morning. Then, whilst on my commute into work on the local Metro system, I had a chance to ask an old school friend who now works in a "proper" University of old how he was finding the students within were approaching the vote. His reply was whilst many wanted to be hip and trendy and vote Remain there were many more than he thought who wanted to vote Leave. Both were however overshadowed by the "not bothered."

In my office there is definitely a split between those of us who served apprenticeships and progressed up via the old-fashioned way from those younger ones who entered the profession directly from university. Perhaps those of us in the former category still have empathy with those on he shopfloor and what they have endured as free movement has encroached upon their livelihoods?

It is in a similar manner to which you indicate that the those and the C2DE's will vote for Brexit. Most immigrants arriving in the UK are not skilled (forget even highly skilled) and it is directly these classes which are facing a greater struggle as it is their areas and job opportunities which have suffered. But these same people have a vote and they are part of UK society and in most cases will have an ethnic background so why should they not voice their opinion via the ballot box? After all unlike me, and I'm guessing you, they do not have what Michael Moore called "F#*k off money" and just bail out of a situation to begin pastures new if and when they feel like it. (And before anyone thinks I'm a socialist may I suggest you are very incorrect.)

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