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New Brexit polls suggest shift in favour of leaving the EU


webfact

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If Brexit wins - the immediate effects are already being seen - turmoil on international markets - the real effects won't appear for 2 to 5 years - way beyond the vision of most of those voting to leave.

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If Brexit wins - the immediate effects are already being seen - turmoil on international markets - the real effects won't appear for 2 to 5 years - way beyond the vision of most of those voting to leave.

I just don't agree with that long forecast prediction. Markets can change for many, many reasons. The UK are not in the euro so lots of factors can effect the market. Greece and Spain will do far more damage in that period with even others such as Italy. Once the domino starts they will all go. It will not be Brexit as the cause if it happens.

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Switzerland pulled its EU application last week.

Brexit this week.

Dutch referendum to be announced tomorrow.

Quickly followed by Sweden.

France too!

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Switzerland pulled its EU application last week.

Brexit this week.

Dutch referendum to be announced tomorrow.

Quickly followed by Sweden.

Tajikistan submits application to join EU.

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Switzerland pulled its EU application last week.

Brexit this week.

Dutch referendum to be announced tomorrow.

Quickly followed by Sweden.

Tajikistan submits application to join EU.

As many on here said, there was many things being withheld until after the referendum.

Here is one of them.

BRUSSELS: -- Turkey has confirmed that a fresh chapter of negotiations on EU membership will open on June 30.

Foreign Affairs Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu told the press he will travel to Brussels for talks with EU Commission Vice-President Frans Timmermans.

Chapter 33 focuses on budgetary and financial questions.

Turkish officials say they will also discuss the slow pace of the visa-free plan for Turkish nationals to enter the EU’s Schengen zone.

http://www.thaivisa.com/forum/topic/927206-turkey-announces-fresh-round-of-eu-talks/

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Prof John Curtice has told the BBC that turnout in London seems to be 2 or 3% lower than expected, based on figures in so far. That might be the result of terrible rain we had in the capital. If so, this is bad for remain, which counts London as a stronghold.

Make of that what you will.

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5 results declared. No shocks.

Leave slightly ahead.

Kettering 61 Leave 39 Remain that is MASSIVE

But a long way to go and when including scotland it is less certain for either side

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Pound takes a tumble, down to 1.45 on the back of better than expected results in the North East. Markets say loads of people now gambling on Leave.

Telegraph now puts Leave on 54% to Remains 46% with only 2.5% of the counting completed.

The best thing to do is go back to bed and look again in a few hours, these swings are going to be an ongoing feature.

Bloombergs blow by blow is pretty good at reporting relevance:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/live-blog/2016-05-05/brexit-live-results-of-uk-s-eu-referendum

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With South Tyneside 62% Leave 38% remain.

The early voting must have Remain very worried indeed.

This is going to be a long night for some - me included.

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