webfact Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Shock UK exit poll suggests Britain's May fails to win majority By Estelle Shirbon and Michael Holden PM Theresa May arrives with her husband Philip to vote in Sonning, Britain June 8, 2017. REUTERS/Toby Melville LONDON (Reuters) - Prime Minister Theresa May's Conservative Party will fail to win a parliamentary majority in Britain's election, according to an exit poll on Thursday, a result that would plunge domestic politics into turmoil and could delay Brexit talks. The exit poll predicted May's party would not win a majority of the 650 seats in parliament to take office alone, meaning she would have to form a coalition or attempt to govern with the backing of other smaller parties. The exit poll predicted the Conservatives would win 314 seats and the Labour Party 266, meaning no clear winner and a "hung parliament". May had been expected to win comfortably. Political deadlock in London could derail negotiations with the other 27 EU countries ahead of Britain's exit from the bloc, due in March 2019, before they even begin in earnest. A delay in forming a government could push back the start of Brexit talks, currently scheduled for June 19, and reduce the time available for what are expected to be the most complex negotiations in post-World War Two European history. The poll forecast the Scottish National Party (SNP) would win 34 seats, the centre-left Liberal Democrats 14, the Welsh nationalist party Plaid Cymru three and the Greens one. If the exit poll is correct, Labour, led by veteran socialist Jeremy Corbyn, could attempt to form a government with those smaller parties, which strongly oppose most of May's policies on domestic issues such as public spending cuts. May’s failure to win a majority calls into question her position as Conservative Party leader and could mean a second election in Britain this year. The exit poll, although a good indicator of broadly how Britons have voted, has not always correctly predicted the exact result in the past. The exit poll sent shockwaves through financial markets.Sterling, which had hit a two-week high of $1.2978 in morning trade after earlier polls had suggested a Conservative victory, dived to around $1.2780. <GBP=D3> <EURGBP=D3>. May called the snap election to strengthen her hand in Brexit negotiations with the other 27 EU countries which are due to begin in less than a fortnight, and to cement her grip on the Conservative Party after she took over as prime minister in the wake of last year's EU referendum. Despite being ahead in the opinion polls by more than 20 points at the start of the election campaign, May's lead was slowly eroded, with Britons unimpressed with her election policies, particularly one to force elderly people to pay more for their social care. Opponents dubbed it a "dementia tax". If Corbyn's Labour do take power with the backing of the Scottish nationalists and the Liberal Democrats, both parties adamantly opposed to Brexit, Britain's future will be very different to the course the Conservatives were planning and could even raise the possibility of a second referendum. May had promised to clinch a Brexit deal that prioritised control over immigration policy, with Britain leaving the European single market and customs union, and said no deal would be better than a bad deal. Labour said it would push ahead with Brexit but would scrap May's negotiating plans and make its priority maintaining the benefits of both the EU single market and its customs union, arguing no deal with the EU would be the worst possible outcome. It also proposed raising taxes for the richest 5 percent of Britons, scrapping university tuition fees and investing 250 billion pounds ($315 billion) in infrastructure plans. (Reporting by Michael Holden; editing by Guy Faulconbridge and Mark Trevelyan) -- © Copyright Reuters 2017-06-09 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexRich Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Looks like Theresa May has miscalculated ... should have attended TV debates and not been so arrogant by introducing a very unpopular dementia tax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brewsterbudgen Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Early days. But would be a fantastic result if it's right.Sent from my SM-A500F using Thailand Forum - Thaivisa mobile app Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dabhand Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 The pound dropping like a stone - down 1.5% so far. Slight bounce just now, but could be that of a dead cat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nausea Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 More pain for UK expat pensioners. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prbkk Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 The exit polls are WRONG. Have another look in 3 hours and May will be vindicated. And the £ will roar back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brewsterbudgen Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 The exit polls are WRONG. Have another look in 3 hours and May will be vindicated. And the £ will roar back.The first declared results suggest you're right! [emoji20] Sent from my SM-A500F using Thailand Forum - Thaivisa mobile app Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dabhand Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 The bookies are certainly not convinced by the Exit Poll. Tories are odds on to have a majority. Initial results are giving the Tories some hope. Watching Sky News and the polling 'expert' is claiming the Exit Poll will be correct because there will not be substantial Tory majority. What?!! Good news for the pound as the dead cat seems to have got a 2nd life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezzra Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Yup, the UK need a PM who is an Arab sympathizer, a terrorist lover and a jews/Israel hater... way to go UK, someone said that some country deserves the people whom they elect as their leader and the consequences there of... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ding Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Terrorism is good for conservative politicians, IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pegman Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 1 hour ago, ezzra said: Yup, the UK need a PM who is an Arab sympathizer, a terrorist lover and a jews/Israel hater... way to go UK, someone said that some country deserves the people whom they elect as their leader and the consequences there of... The Labour leader said he would take on the Zionist loving Saudi terrorist financiers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Basil B Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 1 hour ago, ezzra said: Yup, the UK need a PM who is an Arab sympathizer, a terrorist lover and a jews/Israel hater... way to go UK, someone said that some country deserves the people whom they elect as their leader and the consequences there of... That's a bit harsh Who ever wins it will be without 50% of the electorate... The BBC are predicting I think the poll will be very accurate One thing for sure Nicola Sturgeon and the five minute wonder party seem as popular as a drunk Glaswegian playing his bagpipes at 3 in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steven100 Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 I just seen news saying the GBP has tumbled ..... so the pound is way down !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brewsterbudgen Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 The Labour leader said he would take on the Zionist loving Saudi terrorist financiers. If the exit poll is accurate, it will be a delightful kick in the face for the Mail/Sun and their inaccurate depiction of Corbyn, and a victory for social media and young people. And dare I say it, the end of hard Brexit.Sent from my SM-A500F using Thailand Forum - Thaivisa mobile app Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnyo Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Coalition of chaos of majority of ........? Fill in the gap without breaking forum rules as I just did. Sent from my iPhone using Thaivisa Connect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SheungWan Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 1 hour ago, Prbkk said: The exit polls are WRONG. Have another look in 3 hours and May will be vindicated. And the £ will roar back. 1 hour ago, brewsterbudgen said: The first declared results suggest you're right! Sent from my SM-A500F using Thailand Forum - Thaivisa mobile app never mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baboon Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 52 minutes ago, Basil B said: That's a bit harsh Who ever wins it will be without 50% of the electorate... The BBC are predicting I think the poll will be very accurate One thing for sure Nicola Sturgeon and the five minute wonder party seem as popular as a drunk Glaswegian playing his bagpipes at 3 in the morning. Why do they walk when playing the bagpipes? To get away from the noise...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ilostmypassword Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 I hope the exit polls are correct but there is a phenomenon in the UK where people are more likely to be reluctant to admit they have voted Tory, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orac Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 I hope the exit polls are correct but there is a phenomenon in the UK where people are more likely to be reluctant to admit they have voted Tory, Not sure that is true any more and perhaps it has swung the other way now. There has been a far more pronounced anti-establishment vote of late which was apparent in the Brexit referendum and, more globally in the US and France, and Corbyn is clearly the anti-establishment candidate here who might get that 'unseen' vote. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brewsterbudgen Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 never mind.Now swinging back to Labour. Huge gain from SNP. JC as PM not impossible. Incredible. Great <deleted> to the right wing media and Establishment.Sent from my SM-A500F using Thailand Forum - Thaivisa mobile app Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phuket Man Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 Well played Tessa. Lol. Let's get Jeremy in and get my stolen pension back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thaiwine Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 A bit early to break out the chapers labour has taken one seat from snp. lol * champers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SheungWan Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 9 minutes ago, Phuket Man said: Well played Tessa. Lol. Let's get Jeremy in and get my stolen pension back. You might need it with where sterling is going right now......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baboon Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 1 hour ago, brewsterbudgen said: If the exit poll is accurate, it will be a delightful kick in the face for the Mail/Sun and their inaccurate depiction of Corbyn, and a victory for social media and young people. And dare I say it, the end of hard Brexit. Sent from my SM-A500F using Thailand Forum - Thaivisa mobile app Aye, it will be interesting to see how the Scum and the Daily Mosley react to tonight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LotusBoy Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 Well I never Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ilostmypassword Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 This is from The Independent which casts a pessimistic (for me) light on the accuracy of the exit poll. "But the Tories might do better than that projection, according to the first two seats. In the first two seats to call – Newcastle and Sunderland – the Labour was re-elected as MP. But the results were less positive than the poll had suggested – potentially meaning that the Conservatives could score more seats than it predicted." http://www.independent.co.uk/News/uk/politics/exit-poll-labour-election-results-latest-conservatives-votes-swing-brexit-a7780291.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oxo1947 Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 The BBC site is doing a minute-by-minute update.....(probably can not print the link here) Labour has just taken Battersea from the Cons. **BTW that finance graph just appeared when I posted---- suppose to go to another thread-----DUH--- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baboon Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 3 hours ago, Prbkk said: The exit polls are WRONG. Have another look in 3 hours and May will be vindicated. And the £ will roar back. What was that you were saying...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SheungWan Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 Projections are still a well-hung parliament. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonray Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 And there goes the pound......better get those TOPS SuperKoom flyers out boys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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